The Chatham House analysis argues that Israel's current political deadlock stems from deep ideological divisions, which severely threaten national stability and governance capacity. Key evidence points to the inability of major political blocs to form a cohesive government, leading to policy paralysis and internal friction. Strategically, the report implies that external actors, including regional powers and global allies, must adjust their engagement models, recognizing that internal instability makes long-term policy predictability challenging. Continued fragmentation necessitates a shift toward supporting internal reconciliation mechanisms rather than focusing solely on external security cooperation.
Nigeria will need more than a bigger army to tackle security challenges
English Summary
While President Tinubu's decision to significantly expand the Nigerian Army addresses critical needs stemming from population growth and complex security threats, the Chatham House analysis warns that mere size increase will not guarantee long-term stability. The report highlights that institutional weaknesses—such as corruption, poor operational planning, and structural inefficiencies—risk creating an 'operational stagflation' within the military. To ensure that bigger means better, Nigeria must prioritize fundamental reforms: consolidating overlapping security agencies and empowering state police forces to relieve routine pressure on federal troops. This strategic focus is vital for maximizing investment, managing budgetary strain, and effectively engaging international partners who can provide technical assistance rather than just equipment.
中文摘要
雖然丁布氏總統決定大幅擴編奈及利亞軍隊，旨在應對人口增長和複雜安全威脅帶來的關鍵需求，但查田舍分析警告稱，單純的規模擴大無法保證長期穩定。該報告強調，制度上的缺陷——例如腐敗、操作規劃不周以及結構性低效——有可能在軍方內部造成「營運滯脹」（operational stagflation）。為確保「越大越好」的效益，奈及利亞必須優先進行根本性改革：整合重疊的安全機構，並賦予州警察力量權力，以減輕聯邦部隊的日常壓力。這種戰略重點對於最大化投資、管理預算壓力，以及有效與國際夥伴（使其提供技術援助而非僅限於設備）合作至關重要。
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