The Chatham House analysis argues that Israel's current political deadlock stems from deep ideological divisions, which severely threaten national stability and governance capacity. Key evidence points to the inability of major political blocs to form a cohesive government, leading to policy paralysis and internal friction. Strategically, the report implies that external actors, including regional powers and global allies, must adjust their engagement models, recognizing that internal instability makes long-term policy predictability challenging. Continued fragmentation necessitates a shift toward supporting internal reconciliation mechanisms rather than focusing solely on external security cooperation.
What Haitians want from the next phase of UN and international support
English Summary
A Chatham House survey reveals that Haitians prioritize security, early elections, and improvements in healthcare and education from any international support package. While the population is deeply distrustful of the political class, they show strong opposition to granting amnesty or roles to former gang leaders through DDR processes. This suggests that effective intervention must focus on genuine community buy-in for security and democratic transition, rather than relying on elite political bargains. Policymakers should therefore prioritize civil society support and governance reform over purely military or diplomatic solutions.
中文摘要
查塔姆館的一項調查顯示，海地人民在任何國際援助方案中，最重視的是安全保障、提早舉行選舉，以及改善醫療和教育體系。儘管當地民眾對政治階層抱持深切的不信任感，但他們對於透過「拆除武器、解除戰鬥狀態與重返社會」（DDR）程序向前幫派領袖赦免或賦予職位，卻表現出強烈的反對情緒。這表明有效的介入措施必須著眼於爭取真正的社區認同，以推動安全和民主轉型，而非依賴精英層之間的政治協商。因此，政策制定者應優先支持公民社會和治理改革，而非僅限於軍事或外交層面的解決方案。
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