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Can Mexico Avoid a Confrontation With the United States?

Foreign Affairs | 2026-03-19 | americas

Topics: United States

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English Summary

This article analyzes the precarious relationship between the United States and Mexico, focusing on the potential for confrontation. The author leverages two decades of firsthand experience, including serving as Mexico's ambassador, to detail the history of complex negotiations. These negotiations have spanned multiple U.S. administrations and centered on building a shared, holistic vision for common security, particularly regarding counternarcotics cooperation. The piece implies that avoiding conflict requires sustained, high-level diplomatic commitment and cooperation on deeply intertwined security challenges.

中文摘要

本文分析了美國與墨西哥之間不穩定的關係,重點探討了潛在的衝突風險。作者結合了兩十年的第一手經驗,包括曾擔任墨西哥大使的經歷,詳細闡述了複雜談判的歷史。這些談判橫跨了多屆美國政府,核心圍繞建立共同的、全面的安全願景,特別是在反毒合作方面。文章暗示,避免衝突需要持續的高層外交承諾,並在深層交織的安全挑戰上進行合作。

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