The White House (via OMB) strongly protests Congressional efforts within the FY 2027 NDAA to prohibit the purchase of warships from foreign shipyards. The Administration argues that these restrictions undermine national security by limiting flexibility and hindering its strategy of leveraging allied yards, such as in the 'Finland model,' to drive investment into U.S. shipbuilding capacity. This signals a significant policy shift toward integrating international partners into advanced naval construction, suggesting the Pentagon is prepared to bypass traditional domestic build requirements for future combat vessels.
Outcome Evaluation of Los Angeles County’s Juvenile Justice Client Assessment Recommendation and Evaluation (CARE) Program
English Summary
The RAND evaluation finds that Los Angeles County's CARE Program provides crucial, holistic support to vulnerable youth in the juvenile justice system, significantly improving their long-term stability and well-being. While the program does not show a statistically significant effect on short-term recidivism, its primary value lies in generating substantial fiscal savings and improving quality-of-life outcomes, such as educational and mental health attainment. To enhance effectiveness and sustainability, the report recommends addressing systemic barriers, including strengthening data systems (e.g., using NLP) and expanding staffing capacity for resource attorneys and social workers. These improvements are critical for maximizing the program's rehabilitative impact and ensuring continued fiscal benefit.
中文摘要
蘭德研究機構的評估指出，洛杉磯縣的CARE計畫為司法體系中的弱勢青少年提供了關鍵且全面的支持，顯著改善了他們的長期穩定性與福祉。雖然該計畫在短期再犯率方面未顯示出統計學上的顯著影響，但其主要價值在於產生可觀的財政節省，並改善生活品質成果，例如教育和心理健康方面的成就。為提升計畫的有效性和永續性，報告建議解決系統性障礙，包括加強數據系統（例如使用自然語言處理，NLP）以及擴大資源律師和社工的人力資源配置。這些改善對於最大化項目的矯正影響，並確保持續的財政效益至關重要。
Related Entries
-
1.
-
2.
The Western Pacific remains a highly active theater defined by sustained U.S.-led military exercises and escalating great power competition. Key evidence includes continuous joint operations, such as RIMPAC 2026 in Hawaii and the deployment of CSGs into the South China Sea, juxtaposed with increased naval activity from both China (PLAN task groups) and Russia near Japan's critical straits. These movements underscore a strategic push by non-allied powers to assert presence and challenge regional norms. Policy implications dictate that allied nations must maintain robust multilateral cooperation and interoperability to safeguard freedom of navigation and manage escalating tensions in the Indo-Pacific.
-
3.
The article argues that the post-Cold War era of U.S. unipolarity, established by the perceived invincibility demonstrated during the Gulf War, has ended. This decline is driven by globalization and technological diffusion, which have democratized advanced military capabilities, allowing regional actors to challenge major powers. Consequently, policymakers must prepare for a more volatile international order marked by frequent crises, heightened costs for securing global trade chokepoints, and reduced predictability from American power. The new rules dictate that great powers can no longer effortlessly impose their will through force.
-
4.
The article argues that current market borrowing costs are rising independently of the Federal Reserve's policy stance, challenging the assumption that the Fed controls all rates. Evidence shows significant increases in key rates—such as 2-year Treasuries and mortgages—even while the effective federal funds rate remains steady. This divergence occurs because market rates reflect complex factors like inflation expectations, credit risk, and geopolitical volatility, which are outside the central bank's direct control. Policymakers should therefore recognize that sustainable rate moderation requires credible disinflation and disciplined government budgets, rather than relying solely on Fed intervention.
-
5.
Despite recent trade setbacks, the U.S. retains fundamental structural economic leverage over China, particularly in high-tech sectors and intermediate goods. While Beijing can temporarily weaponize specific resources like rare earths, these chokepoints are vulnerable to diversification efforts by the West. The article argues that the most effective strategy is not unilateral action but coordinated multilateral pressure from U.S. allies across Asia and Europe. Washington must therefore coordinate its economic statecraft with partners to maximize damage to China’s export-dependent model.