The article argues that the Federal Reserve's recent rate hike decision, while justifiable on inflation grounds, highlights a critical lack of an underlying, transparent policy framework. The core problem is that the Fed's decisions appear discretionary, leading to market uncertainty because the committee's judgment, rather than clear data, dictates policy shifts. The author proposes that the Fed adopt a formal monetary policy rule—an algebraic formula linking the target rate to indicators like inflation and unemployment—to replace subjective guidance. Implementing such a rule would provide market predictability, enhance transparency, and shield the Fed from political attacks by making deviations from the standard easily quantifiable.
Fortress Ukraine
English Summary
European leaders and Canada convened a 'coalition of the willing' summit to establish security guarantees for Ukraine amidst ongoing Russian assaults. The primary finding is the commitment to forming a multinational European-led force, comprising land and sea components, designed for deployment should a ceasefire be reached. While hailed as a breakthrough, the outcome is noted as a repetition of previous commitments, suggesting a predictable, albeit detailed, path toward collective security. Strategically, this indicates a sustained, multilateral European effort to manage the conflict's aftermath and deter future aggression.
中文摘要
歐洲領導人與加拿大召開了一場「志願聯盟」峰會,旨在為烏克蘭提供安全保障,以應對持續的俄羅斯攻勢。主要發現是承諾建立一支由歐洲主導的、包含陸海兩部分的跨國軍力,該部隊設計用於在達成停火後部署。儘管此結果被譽為重大突破,但文章指出,其本質上只是重複了先前的承諾,顯示出一個可預測的、但細節豐富的走向集體安全的路徑。從戰略角度來看,這表明歐洲正持續進行多邊努力,以管理衝突的後續局面並威懾未來的侵略行為。
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