The article outlines how a successful modern foreign policy career requires blending traditional diplomatic expertise with private sector acumen. Juster's career trajectory—from international law to high-stakes diplomacy (e.g., the Gulf War) and subsequently to the technology sector—demonstrates this synthesis. Key evidence includes his work managing complex negotiations under duress and his involvement in co-founding the U.S.-India High Technology Group. The implication for policy is that effective geopolitical strategy must actively integrate private sector knowledge and technological considerations to manage modern economic and security challenges.
What Kind of Change Is Coming to Iran?
English Summary
The analysis concludes that the Islamic Republic of Iran is a 'zombie regime' whose ideological and economic foundations are failing, making the current status quo unsustainable. The mounting, nationwide protests are fueled by deep political, economic, and social grievances that transcend traditional ethnic or class divides. Crucially, the regime's core anti-Western ideology is losing legitimacy as the population increasingly prioritizes national reclamation and stability over foreign-directed conflict. Policymakers should anticipate that while the regime may use violence to delay its collapse, the underlying grievances will persist, suggesting a profound and complex transition away from the current theocratic structure.
中文摘要
分析結論指出，伊朗伊斯蘭共和國已成為一個「衰退政權」（zombie regime），其意識形態和經濟基礎正在瓦解，使得現狀難以持續。全國範圍內不斷升級的抗議活動，源於深層的政治、經濟和社會積怨，這些積怨超越了傳統的族群或階級界線。至關重要的是，該政權的核心反西方意識形態正逐漸失去合法性，因為民眾越來越重視國家復興與穩定，而非依附於外部勢力引導的衝突。政策制定者應預期，儘管該政權可能會使用暴力來延緩其崩潰，但潛在的積怨仍將持續存在，這預示著一個脫離現有神權結構的深刻而複雜的轉型過程。
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