The article argues that Donald Trump's unique and prolonged lame-duck period, coupled with domestic political pressures, makes him dangerously prone to international instability. Having exhausted major diplomatic gambits, Trump is expected to channel his energy into high-stakes, unilateral actions, primarily targeting adversaries such as Iran and Cuba. These potential actions—ranging from fresh strikes in the Persian Gulf to attempts at regime change—carry a significant risk of destabilizing regional security and triggering a global economic crisis. Policymakers must anticipate this pivot to high-risk foreign policy to mitigate potential international flare-ups.
Taking CCA from vision to reality
English Summary
The article argues that realizing the strategic potential of 'CCA' requires moving beyond theoretical planning and establishing concrete, operational capabilities. Key reasoning highlights that successful implementation depends on the rapid integration of advanced technologies—such as AI and networked systems—and overcoming current acquisition bottlenecks. For policy, this necessitates a strategic pivot: shifting resources from pure research and development toward scalable, integrated deployment across existing military platforms. Policymakers must therefore prioritize joint service cooperation and streamlined acquisition processes to ensure the capability can transition effectively from concept to operational reality.
中文摘要
本文主張，要實現「CCA」的戰略潛力，必須超越理論規劃，建立具體的作戰能力。核心論點強調，成功的實施取決於先進技術（如人工智慧和網路系統）的快速整合，以及克服現有的採購瓶頸。從政策角度來看，這要求進行戰略轉型：將資源從純粹的研究與開發，轉向在現有軍事平台上的可擴展、整合式部署。因此，政策制定者必須優先考慮聯合軍種合作和簡化採購流程，以確保該能力能夠從概念階段順利過渡至實際作戰應用。
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