The article argues that Donald Trump's unique and prolonged lame-duck period, coupled with domestic political pressures, makes him dangerously prone to international instability. Having exhausted major diplomatic gambits, Trump is expected to channel his energy into high-stakes, unilateral actions, primarily targeting adversaries such as Iran and Cuba. These potential actions—ranging from fresh strikes in the Persian Gulf to attempts at regime change—carry a significant risk of destabilizing regional security and triggering a global economic crisis. Policymakers must anticipate this pivot to high-risk foreign policy to mitigate potential international flare-ups.
Highlights from AF 2026 Air, Space & Cyber Conference
English Summary
The AF 2026 conference emphasized the critical need for integrated operational concepts across the air, space, and cyber domains to maintain military superiority. Key discussions highlighted the rapid integration of advanced technologies, including AI-driven command and control systems and resilient space architecture, as essential evidence for future force projection. Strategically, this necessitates a policy shift toward joint force doctrine that treats these domains as inseparable, requiring significant investment in modernization and securing critical national infrastructure against increasingly sophisticated threats.
中文摘要
AF 2026 會議強調了跨越空域、太空和網路三個領域的整合作戰概念，對於維持軍事優勢至關重要。關鍵討論指出，先進技術的快速整合，包括AI驅動的指揮與控制系統和彈性太空架構，是未來力量投射的必要證據。從戰略角度來看，這要求政策必須轉向聯合戰力學說，將這些領域視為不可分割的整體，並需要投入大量資源進行現代化，同時加固關鍵國家基礎設施，以應對日益複雜的威脅。
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