America is turning 250. Here’s how immigration may shape its future.

Brookings | 2026-07-02 | economy

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English Summary

The Brookings report argues that sustained high levels of immigration are critical for maintaining U.S. demographic stability and economic growth as the nation ages. Demographic modeling indicates that without robust immigration, the US faces a natural population decrease and a severe contraction of its younger, working-age labor force starting in the 2030s. Consequently, policymakers must shift focus from restrictive policies to reforming institutions—including education and social services—to effectively support a highly diverse, immigrant-infused workforce.

中文摘要

布魯金斯智庫報告指出，持續的高水平移民對於維持美國的人口結構穩定和經濟增長至關重要，尤其是在國家步入老齡化階段。人口模型顯示，若缺乏穩健的移民流入，美國將面臨自然人口減少，且從 2030 年代開始，年輕勞動年齡層的勞動力將遭受嚴重萎縮。因此，政策制定者必須將重點從限制性政策轉向制度改革——包括教育和社會服務等領域——以有效支持一個高度多元化、移民群體充實的勞動力市場。

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