The article argues that recent executive overreach and politicization have severely undermined established norms of U.S. civil-military relations. To restore professional standards, the incoming Congress must actively exercise its oversight powers, moving beyond mere criticism to demanding transparency in defense policy and personnel decisions. Key reforms include enforcing meritocratic promotion processes, requiring documented justification for senior officer removals, and preventing the partisan use of the military. These actions are crucial for bolstering public trust and ensuring the military remains a nonpartisan instrument of civilian control.
Prediction Markets and the Public Interest
English Summary
Prediction markets are presented as powerful, dual-use tools that offer significant informational value for economic forecasting, small business risk hedging, and combating misinformation in elections. Proponents argue these decentralized markets provide reliable data superior to traditional polling or social media sentiment. However, critics warn of substantial risks related to market abuse, manipulation (particularly in election betting), and the potential for regulatory overreach. Policymakers must therefore balance fostering innovation with establishing clear guardrails that respect state sovereignty regarding gambling regulations.
中文摘要
預測市場被視為強大的雙用途工具，在經濟預測、小型企業風險對沖以及打擊選舉虛假資訊等方面具有顯著的資訊價值。支持者主張，這些去中心化市場提供的數據可靠性優於傳統民意調查或社群媒體的情緒分析。然而，批評人士警告稱，該類市場存在諸多重大風險，包括市場濫用、操縱（尤其是在選舉賭博方面）以及監管可能越權的潛在問題。因此，政策制定者必須在促進創新與建立明確的安全規範之間取得平衡，同時確保尊重國家主權在博彩監管方面的權力。
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