The article argues that the Federal Reserve's recent rate hike decision, while justifiable on inflation grounds, highlights a critical lack of an underlying, transparent policy framework. The core problem is that the Fed's decisions appear discretionary, leading to market uncertainty because the committee's judgment, rather than clear data, dictates policy shifts. The author proposes that the Fed adopt a formal monetary policy rule—an algebraic formula linking the target rate to indicators like inflation and unemployment—to replace subjective guidance. Implementing such a rule would provide market predictability, enhance transparency, and shield the Fed from political attacks by making deviations from the standard easily quantifiable.
U.S. Defense Demands Are Pushing Asian Allies Toward China
English Summary
The article argues that U.S. demands for dramatically increased defense spending are alienating Asian allies, pushing them toward independent security planning or closer alignment with China. Key evidence includes Washington's insistence on unsustainable GDP percentages and its perceived unreliability—evidenced by conditional security assurances and a soft stance toward Beijing. This strategic disconnect is causing regional powers to pursue nuclear ambitions and build military capacity independently of the U.S., accelerating an arms race. The implication is that the collapse of the U.S.-led alliance structure in Asia hands China significant geopolitical influence, increasing regional instability and making the Indo-Pacific more prone to conflict.
中文摘要
本文論述美國要求大幅提高國防開支的舉動，正在使亞洲盟友感到疏離，促使其轉向獨立的安全規劃或更緊密地與中國靠攏。關鍵證據包括華盛頓堅持不切實際的國內生產總值（GDP）百分比，以及其被認為不可靠性——這體現在有條件的安全保證和對北京採取較為寬鬆的立場上。這種戰略上的脫節正導致區域大國獨立於美國之外追求核武雄心並建立軍事能力，加速了軍備競賽。其潛在影響是，亞洲由美國主導的聯盟結構崩塌，將使中國獲得巨大的地緣政治影響力，從而加劇區域不穩定性，並使印太地區更易陷入衝突。
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