ThinkTankWeekly

Preventing Renewed Conflict in Colombia

CFR | 2026-02-22 | diplomacy

Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Trade, United States

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English Summary

The report argues that the United States must proactively engage Colombia's next administration to support the 2016 Peace Accords and prevent a resurgence of internal conflict. This urgency is driven by incomplete implementation of the peace deal, rising violence against demobilized combatants, and record-high coca production that fuels armed groups like the ELN and Clan del Golfo. Strategic implications include the need for innovative international financing to bridge fiscal gaps and a shift in security cooperation toward stabilizing rural zones to mitigate migration and narcotics flows. Failure to act risks squandering a long-term U.S. foreign policy success and destabilizing the broader Andean region.

中文摘要

報告指出,美國必須積極與哥倫比亞下屆政府接觸,以支持 2016 年和平協議並防止內戰再度爆發。這種迫切性源於和平協議執行不力、針對復員戰鬥人員的暴力增加,以及創紀錄的古柯產量為民族解放軍 (ELN) 和海灣幫 (Clan del Golfo) 等武裝團體提供了資金。戰略影響包括需要創新的國際融資來彌補財政缺口,以及將安全合作轉向穩定農村地區,以緩解移民和毒品流動。若不採取行動,可能導致美國長期外交政策成果付諸流水,並使整個安地斯地區陷入動盪。

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