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China Now Outranks the United States in Global Favorability. What Happened?

CFR | 2026-08-08 | china_indopacific

Topics: AI, China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, United States

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English Summary

A recent Pew survey indicates that China has surpassed the United States in global favorability, marking a significant shift in international public opinion. However, the analysis argues this reversal is primarily due to a decline in U.S. soft power—stemming from volatile policies and actions—rather than an inherent surge in Chinese appeal. Beijing benefits by positioning itself as a reliable provider of public goods, particularly gaining favorability among middle-income nations in the Global South. Strategically, while the shift is historic, policy makers should note that this lead may not be permanent; the U.S.'s soft power deficit could prove cyclical and recoverable, whereas China's structural issues regarding rule of law remain unresolved.

中文摘要

根據最近的皮尤研究(Pew survey)顯示,中國已在全球好感度上超越美國,這標誌著國際輿論發生了重大轉變。然而,該分析指出,這種逆轉主要歸因於美國軟實力的衰退——其根源來自政策和行動的不穩定性——而非中國自身吸引力的大幅增長。北京的受益點在於將自己定位為可靠公共產品的提供者,特別是在全球南方的中等收入國家中贏得好感度。從戰略角度來看,儘管這一轉變具有歷史意義,但政策制定者應注意,這種領先地位可能並非永久;美國的軟實力赤字可能是週期性且可恢復的,而中國在法治方面的結構性問題仍有待解決。

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