The article argues that recent executive overreach and politicization have severely undermined established norms of U.S. civil-military relations. To restore professional standards, the incoming Congress must actively exercise its oversight powers, moving beyond mere criticism to demanding transparency in defense policy and personnel decisions. Key reforms include enforcing meritocratic promotion processes, requiring documented justification for senior officer removals, and preventing the partisan use of the military. These actions are crucial for bolstering public trust and ensuring the military remains a nonpartisan instrument of civilian control.
Why U.S. Borrowing Costs Keep Climbing Despite Treasury’s Efforts
English Summary
The CFR finds that U.S. borrowing costs are climbing because fundamental economic pressures are overwhelming the effectiveness of Treasury's market interventions. Key drivers include large fiscal deficits, persistent inflation concerns fueled by oil price spikes, and massive capital expenditure required for AI infrastructure. Since U.S. yields anchor global fixed-income markets, this upward trend affects international bond markets. The report concludes that ad hoc government actions are insufficient, and only structural changes—such as a falling fiscal deficit and lower inflation—can sustainably lower borrowing costs.
中文摘要
戰略與國際關係理事會(CFR)指出,美國的借貸成本正在攀升,原因是根本性的經濟壓力已經壓倒了財政部市場干預的有效性。主要的驅動因素包括龐大的財政赤字、受石油價格飆升引發的持續通膨擔憂,以及人工智慧基礎設施所需的巨額資本支出。由於美國殖利率是全球固定收益市場的錨點,這一上漲趨勢也影響了國際債券市場。報告總結認為,臨時性的政府行動是不足夠的,只有結構性的改變——例如財政赤字的縮小和通膨的降低——才能持續地降低借貸成本。
Related Entries
-
1.
-
2.
The article argues that Donald Trump's unique and prolonged lame-duck period, coupled with domestic political pressures, makes him dangerously prone to international instability. Having exhausted major diplomatic gambits, Trump is expected to channel his energy into high-stakes, unilateral actions, primarily targeting adversaries such as Iran and Cuba. These potential actions—ranging from fresh strikes in the Persian Gulf to attempts at regime change—carry a significant risk of destabilizing regional security and triggering a global economic crisis. Policymakers must anticipate this pivot to high-risk foreign policy to mitigate potential international flare-ups.
-
3.
China's economic strategy is characterized by a persistent 'economics of denial,' prioritizing massive state-directed investment in advanced technology over addressing weak domestic consumption. This approach is rooted in a flawed belief that controlling physical capital will automatically generate productivity and wage growth, ignoring the structural imbalance where domestic demand consistently falls short of supply. This overinvestment and underconsumption model is unsustainable. Consequently, Beijing's policies will continue to generate global deflationary pressures and escalating trade friction, necessitating a fundamental pivot toward consumption-led growth for long-term stability.
-
4.
The Blue Wave signals significant voter frustration with cost of living and inflation, giving Congress a mandate to prioritize affordability and cost-reduction measures. Economically, the rapid build-out of AI data centers is creating localized stress, driving up skilled labor wages and straining resources, while also facing constraints from power grids and potential local regulatory backlash. Policymakers must manage this 'sequencing issue'—addressing rising costs before full productivity gains from AI can materialize—and anticipate shifts in global data center infrastructure as the market matures.
-
5.
The built environment workforce, comprising 15.3 million workers across 95 occupations, is foundational to modern infrastructure and economic stability. While highly paid, the workforce suffers from significant demographic imbalances, being disproportionately white and male, and often lacking clear career progression pathways. To prevent project delays and cost overruns, policy must mandate that capital asset owners treat labor market forecasting as core to project planning. Strategic interventions are required to strengthen career pipelines through robust apprenticeships, improve retention, and actively recruit younger and more diverse workers.