The article argues that Donald Trump's unique and prolonged lame-duck period, coupled with domestic political pressures, makes him dangerously prone to international instability. Having exhausted major diplomatic gambits, Trump is expected to channel his energy into high-stakes, unilateral actions, primarily targeting adversaries such as Iran and Cuba. These potential actions—ranging from fresh strikes in the Persian Gulf to attempts at regime change—carry a significant risk of destabilizing regional security and triggering a global economic crisis. Policymakers must anticipate this pivot to high-risk foreign policy to mitigate potential international flare-ups.
Launch of Latin America Programme
English Summary
The newly formalized Latin America Programme aims to elevate the region's global profile by strengthening its role in international policy discussions amid a turbulent geopolitical landscape. Its strategy centers on expanding strategic partnerships across trade, diplomacy, and democratic governance, building upon past efforts addressing crises like Haiti and Venezuela. The program will focus heavily on shaping multilateral responses to humanitarian crises and diplomatic deadlock. Ultimately, the initiative seeks to rebuild regional and international norms while bolstering Latin America's intra-regional dynamics and global interests.
中文摘要
新設立的拉丁美洲計畫旨在透過強化該地區在國際政策討論中的作用，提升其全球能見度，尤其是在地緣政治動盪的背景下。本計畫的核心策略是擴展貿易、外交和民主治理等多方面的戰略夥伴關係，並建立在過去處理海地和委內瑞拉等危機經驗之上。此專案將重點關注塑造多邊應對人道危機與外交僵局的方式。最終而言，此項倡議旨在重塑區域及國際規範，同時鞏固拉丁美洲的內部協作動力及其全球利益。
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