The article argues that Donald Trump's unique and prolonged lame-duck period, coupled with domestic political pressures, makes him dangerously prone to international instability. Having exhausted major diplomatic gambits, Trump is expected to channel his energy into high-stakes, unilateral actions, primarily targeting adversaries such as Iran and Cuba. These potential actions—ranging from fresh strikes in the Persian Gulf to attempts at regime change—carry a significant risk of destabilizing regional security and triggering a global economic crisis. Policymakers must anticipate this pivot to high-risk foreign policy to mitigate potential international flare-ups.
Elina Valtonen, Minister for Foreign Affairs of Finland, on whether Europe can compete in the age of AI
English Summary
Valtonen argues that AI is fundamentally reshaping global competition, placing Europe under pressure to strengthen its industrial capacity while maintaining its core values. The key challenge involves balancing technological openness with necessary regulation to protect strategic interests against US-China rivalry. To remain competitive, Europe must pursue a more confident approach focused on building robust internal innovation and enhancing its economic security. This requires governments to play an active role in shaping AI development and defining what 'strategic autonomy' means in the digital age.
中文摘要
Valtonen 認為，人工智慧（AI）正在從根本上重塑全球競爭格局，這迫使歐洲在維護其核心價值觀的同時，必須加強產業實力。關鍵挑戰在於如何平衡技術開放性與必要的監管機制，以保護戰略利益，應對美中之間的激烈競爭。為維持競爭優勢，歐洲必須採取更具信心的方針，重點建立穩健的內部創新能力並提升經濟安全。這要求各國政府必須積極參與塑造AI發展軌跡，並定義數位時代下「戰略自主性」的真正含義。
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