The article argues that the post-Cold War era of U.S. unipolarity, established by the perceived invincibility demonstrated during the Gulf War, has ended. This decline is driven by globalization and technological diffusion, which have democratized advanced military capabilities, allowing regional actors to challenge major powers. Consequently, policymakers must prepare for a more volatile international order marked by frequent crises, heightened costs for securing global trade chokepoints, and reduced predictability from American power. The new rules dictate that great powers can no longer effortlessly impose their will through force.
The not‑so‑special relationship? Can UK–US relations survive Trump 2.0?
English Summary
The House of Lords International Relations and Defence Committee is examining the future of UK-US relations amidst a shift toward a more transactional American approach to alliances under the second Trump administration. The inquiry highlights how long-term political trends in the US are reshaping its global outlook, posing significant challenges to the traditional rules-based international order. To navigate this volatile strategic environment, UK policymakers must adapt their foreign, defense, and economic strategies to address shifting US priorities and ensure the continuity of the transatlantic partnership.
Related Entries
-
1.
-
2.
Despite recent trade setbacks, the U.S. retains fundamental structural economic leverage over China, particularly in high-tech sectors and intermediate goods. While Beijing can temporarily weaponize specific resources like rare earths, these chokepoints are vulnerable to diversification efforts by the West. The article argues that the most effective strategy is not unilateral action but coordinated multilateral pressure from U.S. allies across Asia and Europe. Washington must therefore coordinate its economic statecraft with partners to maximize damage to China’s export-dependent model.
-
3.U.S. Navy Orders Low-cost Missiles to Expand Fleet, Allied Long-Range Maritime Strike Capabilities (USNI)
The U.S. Navy is prioritizing the procurement of low-cost, long-range cruise missiles through programs like CHAOS and CAMS to significantly expand strike capabilities for both its own fleet and allied partners. This strategic shift provides affordable precision munitions capable of striking targets up to 1,000 nautical miles, addressing critical stockpiles depleted by recent conflicts. By developing these systems, the U.S. aims to overcome procurement delays faced by allies (such as Japan and Taiwan) who rely on older missile designs. Ultimately, this initiative strengthens allied deterrence and bolsters long-range maritime strike capabilities necessary for potential conflict with China.
-
4.Examining the Impact of Senate Bill 1160 on Utilization Review and Medical Treatment in California Workers' Compensation (RAND)
This RAND report evaluates whether California's Senate Bill 1160 successfully reduced administrative burdens and improved timely care in workers’ compensation by limiting utilization review (UR) requirements for certain treatments within the first 30 days of injury. Using large-scale claims data, the analysis assesses changes in UR approval rates, adherence to medical guidelines, and time-to-treatment before and after the law's implementation. Initial findings indicate that UR approval rates remained consistently high across both periods, suggesting the impact on authorization processes may be minimal for certain treatments. Overall, the study provides critical empirical data intended to guide policymakers (like the California Department of Industrial Relations) in refining workers’ compensation policy to balance timely medical access with necessary oversight.
-
5.
The China-Russia partnership is a highly consequential geopolitical alignment driven by a shared goal of countering U.S. hegemony and reshaping the international order into a multipolar system. While not a formal alliance, this relationship is strengthened by Russia's increasing economic reliance on China following Western sanctions, which allows Beijing to leverage its influence. Policymakers should note that while the partnership projects deep solidarity (as seen in high-level summits), it remains complex and limited by mutual mistrust and competing strategic interests. This enduring alignment poses a significant challenge to U.S. interests and requires continued diplomatic vigilance.