The World Cup provides a unique diplomatic opportunity for North American co-hosts (US, Canada, Mexico) to overcome deep historical and political frictions. Despite ongoing economic tensions and border disputes, the region maintains profound integration, evidenced by $1 trillion in annual cross-border trade and large trans-national populations. The shared cultural experience of major global events can transcend nationalistic divides, allowing leaders to refocus on common ground. Policymakers should leverage such moments to promote cooperation and build social bridges, mitigating geopolitical disputes that threaten continental stability.
How to counter the Trump shock to free trade
English Summary
The Chatham House paper defines the 'Trump shock' as a fundamental shift in US policy away from rules-based international trade and global public goods cooperation, prioritizing unilateral value extraction instead. This trend is viewed as potentially permanent, challenging the established multilateral economic order. The analysis argues against forcing nations into an exclusive alignment with either the US or China. Instead, it advocates for 'middle powers' to collaboratively build a new, permanent 'third' economic pole dedicated to promoting global public goods and mutual benefit through rules-based cooperation.
中文摘要
該查塔姆館報告將「川普衝擊」定義為美國政策的根本性轉變，即從基於規則的國際貿易和全球公共財合作模式，轉向優先追求單邊價值攫取。這種趨勢被視為潛在永久性的，對既有的多邊經濟秩序構成挑戰。該分析主張不應強迫任何國家只能與美國或中國擇一結盟。相反地，報告倡導「中間力量」應協作建立一個新的、永久的「第三極」經濟支柱，專注於透過基於規則的合作來促進全球公共財和互利共贏。
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