The ongoing Ebola outbreak in the DRC serves as a critical warning that the global health security system is fundamentally unprepared for future biological threats. The difficulty in containing this outbreak is compounded by the rising risk of emerging pathogens and the growing potential for AI misuse in bioweapon development. Policy must therefore shift from reactive, crisis-driven funding to sustained, proactive investment in resilient public health infrastructure, particularly in conflict zones. Addressing this requires strengthening global surveillance, ensuring consistent international cooperation, and mitigating the intersection of conflict, climate change, and disease spread.
The Next Russia Threat
English Summary
While the war in Ukraine may reach an inflection point and Russian forces are struggling, the article argues that Russia remains the primary long-term threat to European security regardless of the conflict's outcome. This assessment is based on the fact that despite internal weaknesses—such as a stagnating economy and poor demographics—Russia retains the capability and vested interest in destabilizing Europe’s existing security architecture. Policymakers must therefore prepare for sustained, multi-faceted Russian pressure and potential military reconstitution efforts, rather than focusing solely on immediate battlefield victories or defeats.
中文摘要
儘管烏克蘭戰爭可能達到轉捩點，且俄羅斯軍隊正在掙扎，本文論述認為，無論衝突結果如何，俄羅斯仍是歐洲安全的首要長期威脅。此評估基於一個事實：儘管俄羅斯存在內部弱點（例如經濟停滯和人口結構不佳），但它仍保留著瓦解歐洲現有安全架構的能力和深層的既得利益。因此，政策制定者不應僅專注於眼前的戰場勝利或失敗，而必須為俄羅斯可能發起的、持續且多層面的壓力，以及潛在的軍事重整動員做好準備。
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