ThinkTankWeekly

Afghanistan and Pakistan Square Off

Foreign Affairs | 2026-01-29 | middle_east

Topics: Indo-Pacific, Nuclear, Middle East

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English Summary

The analysis identifies the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan as the most critical flashpoint in South Asia, surpassing the immediate threat posed by India-Pakistan tensions. Pakistan accuses the Taliban regime of harboring militant groups, particularly the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), which continues to launch cross-border attacks. This persistent, simmering conflict threatens regional stability and has damaging consequences for the wider area. Policymakers must address this cross-border security issue, as the failure to stabilize the Afghan-Pakistani relationship risks escalating regional violence.

中文摘要

本分析指出阿富汗與巴基斯坦的邊界是南亞最關鍵的爆點,其威脅程度甚至超越了印巴之間的即時緊張局勢。巴基斯坦指控塔利班政權庇護激進團體,特別是「巴基斯坦塔利班運動」(TTP),該團體持續發動跨境攻擊。這種持續且潛伏的衝突威脅著區域穩定,並對更廣泛的地區造成了破壞性後果。政策制定者必須處理這一跨境安全問題,因為若未能穩定阿富汗與巴基斯坦的關係,恐將導致區域暴力升級。

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