The article outlines how a successful modern foreign policy career requires blending traditional diplomatic expertise with private sector acumen. Juster's career trajectory—from international law to high-stakes diplomacy (e.g., the Gulf War) and subsequently to the technology sector—demonstrates this synthesis. Key evidence includes his work managing complex negotiations under duress and his involvement in co-founding the U.S.-India High Technology Group. The implication for policy is that effective geopolitical strategy must actively integrate private sector knowledge and technological considerations to manage modern economic and security challenges.
China Is Winning by Waiting
English Summary
The article argues that China is gaining strategic advantages by adopting a policy of patience, which is eroding the United States' traditional geopolitical edge. Historically, the US relied heavily on soft power and allied cooperation—building collective defense and integrated markets—to maintain dominance over Beijing. However, China's 'waiting' strategy allows it to bypass direct confrontation, capitalizing on the slow erosion of US soft power and the shifting priorities of allies. Policymakers must therefore adapt their strategy beyond relying solely on traditional alliances, requiring a more diversified and proactive approach to maintain competitive parity.
中文摘要
本文論述中國透過採取「耐心政策」正在獲取戰略優勢，從而逐漸侵蝕美國傳統的地緣政治優勢。歷史上，美國高度依賴軟實力與盟友合作——建立集體防禦和整合市場——來維持對北京的支配地位。然而，中國的「等待」戰略使其能夠規避直接對抗，從而利用美國軟實力的緩慢衰退以及盟友優先事項的轉移。因此，政策制定者必須調整策略，不能僅依賴傳統聯盟，而需要採取更具多元化和前瞻性的方法，以維持競爭均勢。
Related Entries
-
1.
-
2.
The Brookings report argues that closing long-term fiscal deficits cannot be achieved solely by taxing high earners or corporations. Analysis shows that the required savings necessitate broad-based tax increases that would significantly impact middle and lower-income families, as targeted taxes on the wealthy are insufficient. The report notes that high-tax OECD nations achieve high revenues through broad consumption taxes (like VAT) rather than exclusively through highly progressive taxes on the rich. Consequently, any major tax-funded deficit solution would impose a substantial burden on the working class, potentially without the comprehensive social benefits enjoyed by European counterparts.
-
3.
The analysis concludes that China will hold the upper hand at the upcoming Trump-Xi summit, leveraging its dominance over critical minerals, rare earths, and magnet supply chains. This geopolitical leverage, combined with global instability (such as the Iran conflict), allows Beijing to dictate terms and buy time to consolidate its technological and industrial self-sufficiency. Strategically, the U.S. must avoid granting China a managed equilibrium by maintaining 'maximum pressure' on key sectors like AI and tech, rather than seeking broad agreements that could undermine American leadership.
-
4.
The article argues that the ongoing Iran War has triggered a severe global hunger crisis, exacerbated by U.S. aid cuts and policy neglect, pushing millions to the brink of starvation. Key evidence includes the termination of U.S. support in countries like Afghanistan, Somalia, and Yemen, coupled with supply chain disruptions and massive cost increases across the region. Policy recommendations are urgent: the U.S. must immediately deploy its $5.4 billion in unspent humanitarian funds, establish a humanitarian corridor through the Strait of Hormuz, and reinstate life-saving aid to critical nations.
-
5.
The analysis cautions that the upcoming Trump-Xi summit must not result in short-term strategic concessions for the US, which risks undermining long-term stability. China is rapidly consolidating global power, leveraging US policy shifts and increasing its assertiveness across the Indo-Pacific and in technology. Strategically, the US must prioritize addressing the immediate crisis in Iran, where China holds significant leverage, and must also focus on joint cooperation on AI. Ultimately, the US must resist political impulses and pursue a robust strategy to counter China's growing challenge to global dominance.