ThinkTankWeekly

China Is Winning by Waiting

Foreign Affairs | 2026-02-27 | china_indopacific

Topics: China, NATO, United States

Visit original source

ThinkTankWeekly provides a curated entry and summary only. Full text and PDF remain on the publisher's website.

English Summary

The article argues that China is gaining strategic advantages by adopting a policy of patience, which is eroding the United States' traditional geopolitical edge. Historically, the US relied heavily on soft power and allied cooperation—building collective defense and integrated markets—to maintain dominance over Beijing. However, China's 'waiting' strategy allows it to bypass direct confrontation, capitalizing on the slow erosion of US soft power and the shifting priorities of allies. Policymakers must therefore adapt their strategy beyond relying solely on traditional alliances, requiring a more diversified and proactive approach to maintain competitive parity.

中文摘要

本文論述中國透過採取「耐心政策」正在獲取戰略優勢,從而逐漸侵蝕美國傳統的地緣政治優勢。歷史上,美國高度依賴軟實力與盟友合作——建立集體防禦和整合市場——來維持對北京的支配地位。然而,中國的「等待」戰略使其能夠規避直接對抗,從而利用美國軟實力的緩慢衰退以及盟友優先事項的轉移。因此,政策制定者必須調整策略,不能僅依賴傳統聯盟,而需要採取更具多元化和前瞻性的方法,以維持競爭均勢。

Related Entries

  1. 1.
    2026-06-26 | americas | 2026-W26 | Topics: Trade, United States

    The World Cup provides a unique diplomatic opportunity for North American co-hosts (US, Canada, Mexico) to overcome deep historical and political frictions. Despite ongoing economic tensions and border disputes, the region maintains profound integration, evidenced by $1 trillion in annual cross-border trade and large trans-national populations. The shared cultural experience of major global events can transcend nationalistic divides, allowing leaders to refocus on common ground. Policymakers should leverage such moments to promote cooperation and build social bridges, mitigating geopolitical disputes that threaten continental stability.

    Read at CFR

  2. 2.

    Despite significant damage to its naval fleet, shipyards, and production facilities from recent strikes, Iran is expected to quickly reconstitute its military industrial base. This reconstitution relies heavily on importing dual-use components, such as machine tools, drone parts, and marine engines, through alternative routes like Pakistan or China. To counter this threat, the report advises that policymakers must extend sanctions mechanisms—particularly 'no reexport' clauses—and proactively engage third countries with direct access to Iran. Furthermore, monitoring allied firms dealing with key suppliers in China and Turkey is crucial to slowing down and raising the cost of necessary procurements.

    Read at CSIS

  3. 3.
    2026-06-26 | europe | 2026-W26 | Topics: Middle East, Nuclear, Russia, Ukraine, United States

    Ukraine demonstrates remarkable resilience and technological adaptability despite continuous Russian attacks on civilian infrastructure and critical services. While Kyiv's military is adapting through innovative drone warfare and strikes, its long-term stability requires sustained international support to counter Russia’s escalating threats. Strategically, the U.S. must coordinate with key European powers (E3) due to shifting political attention, while immediately deploying negotiators to Ukraine to gain ground truth and plan for potential escalation scenarios.

    Read at Brookings

  4. 4.

    Africa's economic landscape is at a critical inflection point, shifting away from traditional foreign aid toward sophisticated commercial investment and private-sector co-investment. This transition is underpinned by major regional initiatives like the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), which grants African nations significant agency and negotiating leverage. Consequently, external powers must pivot their strategy from conditional development assistance to facilitating partnerships in key sectors such as digital infrastructure, energy transition, agribusiness, and critical minerals. Failure to acknowledge Africa's growing market options risks diminishing the influence of any single global partner.

    Read at CFR

  5. 5.
    2026-06-26 | tech | 2026-W26 | Topics: China, Trade, United States

    The CSIS report argues that memory availability, particularly advanced High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), is becoming a critical bottleneck for AI deployment, potentially surpassing the importance of logic chips. Rapid and sustained demand from hyperscale data centers is currently outpacing global production capacity, leading to supply constraints evidenced by manufacturers selling out future production slates. Given that new fabrication facilities require years and massive investment to build, this shortage is projected to persist through 2027 or beyond. Policymakers must therefore prioritize strengthening domestic memory manufacturing capacity and securing resilient supply chains to prevent hardware bottlenecks from constraining broader industrial competitiveness.

    Read at CSIS