ThinkTankWeekly

2026-W09

2026-02-23 ~ 2026-03-01 | 93 reviewed reports

This digest page is part of ThinkTankWeekly's portal index. It summarizes notable reports and links readers to the original source websites.

  1. 1.
    2026-02-23 | economy | Topics: Trade, United States

    Venezuela's economy suffered a severe contraction, with its GDP shrinking over 70% between 2012 and 2020, due to a combination of poor domestic policies and punitive U.S. sanctions. The article posits that the country's recovery hinges on the removal of the previous regime and the lifting of sanctions. This suggests that while the economic path forward is long and challenging, the removal of key political obstacles creates a necessary window for stabilization and potential reform. Policymakers should anticipate a complex transition period marked by structural adjustments and international engagement.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  2. 2.
    2026-02-24 | china_indopacific | Topics: Indo-Pacific, Trade, United States

    The article examines the historical security architecture built around Japan, which has relied on the US-led post-WWII international system for stability and global trade. While this system has successfully maintained norms against outright conquest, the core finding is that global security leaders recognize this established framework is not guaranteed to endure. This suggests that Japan and its allies must prepare for potential shifts or breakdowns in the long-standing security assurances provided by the United States. Consequently, Japan's national security strategy must account for a future where the current multilateral guarantees are unstable.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  3. 3.
    2026-02-24 | middle_east | Topics: Middle East, United States

    The article critiques the widespread confidence among foreign policy establishments regarding the ability to manage the fallout from a potential U.S. attack on Iran. It argues that this overconfidence is rooted in a misunderstanding of political norms and the unpredictable nature of key decision-makers. The text provides evidence of a pattern where a specific political figure has historically disregarded established foreign policy advice and norms, such as the move of the American embassy to Jerusalem, without facing apparent repercussions. Consequently, policymakers should be cautious, as standard strategic planning may fail to account for the volatile and norm-breaking actions of powerful political actors.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  4. 4.
    2026-02-25 | diplomacy | Topics: United States

    The article argues that recent political actions, specifically those involving extortion and tariffs, have severely damaged the long-standing U.S. alliance system. While the U.S. needs to restore international cooperation, the author cautions against simply reviving the Cold War-era alliance framework. This approach is deemed inappropriate because the global landscape has fundamentally changed since the current structures were established. Therefore, future U.S. policy must conduct a comprehensive 'alliance audit' to adapt to modern geopolitical realities rather than relying on historical precedents.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  5. 5.
    2026-02-26 | europe | Topics: Russia, Ukraine

    The article argues that Ukraine is facing intense pressure to make painful territorial concessions to achieve peace, citing proposals from the Trump administration. Key evidence includes draft peace agreements demanding that Kyiv recognize Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk as Russian territory, reflecting the current military realities on the ground. While President Zelensky resists these terms to protect national integrity, the pressure suggests that future policy decisions for Ukraine must navigate a difficult balance between maintaining sovereignty and achieving a stable, albeit compromised, peace.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  6. 6.
    2026-02-26 | economy | Topics: United States

    The article argues that the U.S. government is weaponizing anti-corruption laws, specifically the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA), for strategic or political gain. Key evidence cited is the immediate and massive spike in stock prices for firms under FCPA investigation following a temporary suspension of the law. This suspension allowed these firms to gain billions in market value, far exceeding potential penalties. The implication is that anti-corruption legislation can be manipulated to benefit specific corporate interests, undermining the rule of law and creating unpredictable market volatility.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  7. 7.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    Stephen M. Walt argues that the current American foreign policy constitutes "predatory hegemony," wherein the U.S. uses its overwhelming power to extract short-term concessions and tribute from both allies and rivals in a zero-sum manner. This aggressive shift is presented as a reaction to the perceived failures and excesses of the post-Cold War unipolar order. The reliance on tactics like tariffs and threats, rather than traditional diplomatic restraint, is fundamentally eroding America's long-term global power and stability. Consequently, the article warns that medium powers must cooperate among themselves to defend their interests and seek a more equitable partnership with the United States.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  8. 8.
    2026-02-27 | china_indopacific | Topics: China, NATO, United States

    The article argues that China is gaining strategic advantages by adopting a policy of patience, which is eroding the United States' traditional geopolitical edge. Historically, the US relied heavily on soft power and allied cooperation—building collective defense and integrated markets—to maintain dominance over Beijing. However, China's 'waiting' strategy allows it to bypass direct confrontation, capitalizing on the slow erosion of US soft power and the shifting priorities of allies. Policymakers must therefore adapt their strategy beyond relying solely on traditional alliances, requiring a more diversified and proactive approach to maintain competitive parity.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  9. 9.
    2026-02-27 | middle_east | Topics: Middle East, United States

    The article posits that Donald Trump wields significant, quasi-savior status in Israel, capable of bypassing traditional political deadlocks due to his high standing among Jewish Israelis. This influence is evidenced by his overwhelmingly positive reception following his perceived role in brokering a resolution to the Gaza conflict and the release of hostages. For policy makers, this suggests that future US political engagement will be heavily influenced by personal charisma and perceived crisis management, granting US figures disproportionate leverage over Israeli domestic and foreign policy dynamics.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  10. 10.
    2026-02-27 | middle_east | Topics: Middle East, United States

    The article argues that the Islamic Republic of Iran is currently at its most vulnerable point since its founding, suggesting significant internal and external pressures. Key evidence cited includes recent U.S./Israeli attacks that degraded Iran's military and nuclear capacity, coupled with widespread domestic uprisings and severe, unmanageable economic and environmental crises. These combined factors indicate that the regime's stability is severely compromised, implying that major policy shifts or coordinated international action may be necessary to fundamentally alter the political landscape of the country.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  11. 11.
    2026-02-28 | middle_east | Topics: Middle East, Nuclear, United States

    The article posits that the Iranian regime is facing an existential crisis, accelerated by recent military escalations. Key evidence cited includes a joint U.S.-Israeli assault on Iranian military and leadership targets, followed by significant retaliatory missile and drone exchanges. The authors argue that the ultimate objective of these actions is regime toppling, suggesting that the region is moving toward internal instability and potential state collapse. Policymakers must anticipate a volatile shift in regional power dynamics and prepare for a post-Khamenei transition period.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  12. 12.
    2026-03-01 | middle_east | Topics: Middle East, Nuclear, United States

    The US and Israel have conducted joint military strikes against Iran for the second time in eight months, signaling a significant escalation of regional tensions. While initial strikes focused primarily on Iran's nuclear program, the most recent operation has been sweeping, targeting both Iranian leadership and broader military capabilities. This military action is compounded by high-level political rhetoric, such as Donald Trump calling for "regime change" amid domestic protests. These sustained and expanding strikes suggest a major deterioration of stability in the region, raising the risk of direct conflict escalation.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  13. 13.
    2026-02-23 | diplomacy | Topics: Europe, Indo-Pacific, Russia, United States

    George Kennan’s 1946 'Long Telegram' and subsequent 'X Article' established the foundational strategy of containment that defined U.S. foreign policy for four decades. He argued that Soviet expansionism was driven by internal ideological dynamics rather than external incentives, necessitating a firm, long-term counterforce to Russian encroachment. Beyond military might, Kennan emphasized that successfully containing the Soviet threat required the United States to maintain a healthy, vibrant, and spiritually vital domestic society. This strategy ultimately guided the U.S. to victory in the Cold War by managing geopolitical competition until the Soviet Union's collapse in 1991.

    Read at CFR

  14. 14.
    2026-02-23 | economy | Topics: Europe, Indo-Pacific, Trade, United States

    The US Supreme Court invalidated President Trump's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose broad tariffs, ruling that the administration exceeded its executive authority. Despite this legal setback, the White House immediately pivoted to Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act to implement a new 15% global tariff, though experts warn this move remains vulnerable to further litigation. Ultimately, the ruling fails to restore predictability to US trade policy, forcing global partners to navigate continued protectionist volatility and pursue long-term trade diversification strategies.

    Read at Chatham House

  15. 15.
    2026-02-23 | other | Topics: Middle East, Trade

    The ISNAD influence campaign, linked to the Muslim Brotherhood, has pivoted from a wartime focus on ending the Gaza conflict to a long-term 'sociological warfare' strategy targeting Israel’s internal social fabric. Evidence from social media analysis indicates a shift toward narratives that delegitimize state institutions, foster extreme political polarization, and encourage emigration to undermine national cohesion. This evolution into a more professionalized and defensive operation suggests that Israel must treat such civilian-led digital campaigns as significant threats to its long-term social resilience and national security.

    Read at INSS

  16. 16.
    2026-02-23 | tech | Topics: AI, China, Climate, Cybersecurity, Europe, Middle East, Trade, United States

    Israel must transition from reliance on foreign digital infrastructure to a model of digital sovereignty to protect its national security and strategic autonomy in the AI era. While a global leader in innovation, Israel faces vulnerabilities due to its dependence on international cloud providers, semiconductor supply chains, and a regulatory environment ill-suited for large-scale domestic infrastructure projects. To mitigate these risks, the paper recommends designating digital assets as strategic national infrastructure, integrating energy planning with data center needs, and establishing a sovereign hybrid cloud framework to ensure national control over critical data and computing resources.

    Read at INSS

  17. 17.
    2026-02-23 | diplomacy | Topics: AI, Middle East, United States

    Saudi Arabia has shifted from a path of gradual rapprochement to a policy of strategic distancing from Israel, making normalization unlikely in the near term. This shift is fueled by overwhelming domestic public opposition, increasingly harsh rhetoric from leadership regarding the conflict in Gaza, and a non-negotiable demand for a Palestinian state based on 1967 borders. Consequently, Riyadh now views normalization as a risk to its regional standing and domestic legitimacy rather than a strategic opportunity. Any return to the normalization trajectory will require significant developments in the Palestinian arena and a fundamental reassessment of Israel's regional role.

    Read at INSS

  18. 18.
    2026-02-23 | tech | Topics: AI, Nuclear, Taiwan, Trade, United States

    This RAND report introduces the concept of Decisive Economic Advantage (DEA), a state where early leads in Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) become permanent dominance through self-reinforcing feedback loops between technological capability, economic deployment, and capital reinvestment. Using a dynamic economic model and Monte Carlo simulations, the author identifies two primary pathways to dominance: 'frontier-driven' intelligence explosions and 'accumulation-driven' reinvestment moats that can occur even without recursive self-improvement. The findings suggest that strategic intervention leverage decays rapidly as asymmetries widen, implying that policymakers must prioritize early detection of regime shifts and tailor responses—such as export controls or ecosystem containment—to the specific growth mechanism involved.

    Read at RAND

  19. 19.
    2026-02-24 | society | Topics: Climate, Middle East, United States

    Brookings scholars analyze the second Trump administration's first year of education policy, highlighting a paradoxical strategy of dismantling federal bureaucracy while aggressively using civil rights enforcement to advance culture-war priorities. Key actions include slashing Department of Education staff, ending DEI initiatives despite empirical evidence of their value, and withholding funds from institutions over campus protests and transgender policies. The analysis suggests that while executive orders have significantly restructured the federal role, long-term impact remains uncertain due to ongoing litigation and the need for Congressional support to terminate major programs like IDEA and Title I.

    Read at Brookings

  20. 20.
    2026-02-24 | economy | Topics: Trade, United States

    The Supreme Court’s 6–3 ruling in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump significantly curtails executive power by holding that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not authorize presidential tariffs. Cato analysts emphasize that while the decision addresses a major constitutional overreach and provides fiscal relief for households, the administration is already pivoting to alternative statutes to maintain its trade agenda. This shift underscores a critical need for Congress to reclaim its constitutional authority over trade policy to ensure long-term economic stability and prevent arbitrary executive taxation.

    Read at CATO

  21. 21.
    2026-02-24 | society

    The article argues that school choice is an essential policy for progressives as well as conservatives, particularly following a court ruling allowing religious displays in public classrooms. It highlights a Fifth Circuit decision overturning an injunction against a Louisiana law requiring the Ten Commandments to be posted, illustrating the ongoing legal shift toward allowing more religion in schools. The author concludes that since public schools cannot satisfy all diverse beliefs, educational funding should follow the student to ensure all families can access education aligned with their values.

    Read at CATO

  22. 22.
    2026-02-24 | health

    The article argues that liberalizing immigration is a critical strategy for making long-term care more affordable and improving health outcomes for the elderly. Research indicates that a higher influx of immigrants significantly expands the healthcare workforce, particularly in home-based care, without displacing domestic workers. This labor shift reduces reliance on nursing homes and is associated with a substantial decrease in nationwide mortality rates among older adults. Consequently, the findings suggest that immigration reform serves as a powerful lever for addressing the public health challenges of an aging population.

    Read at CATO

  23. 23.
    2026-02-24 | society | Topics: Trade, United States

    The article argues that Congress frequently exploits the 'emergency designation' loophole to bypass fiscal rules, leading to over $12.5 trillion in un-offset spending since 1991. It highlights that while countries like Switzerland and Germany successfully use 'debt brakes' to repay emergency borrowing, the US has seen its debt-to-GDP ratio surge due to a lack of similar enforcement mechanisms. To achieve fiscal sustainability, the author recommends adopting binding constraints that track and offset emergency spending through automatic, across-the-board reductions over a multi-year period.

    Read at CATO

  24. 24.
    2026-02-24 | society | Topics: United States

    The article proposes establishing an independent, fast-track fiscal commission to address the U.S. debt crisis and unsustainable growth in automatic entitlement spending. Drawing on the successful Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) model, the author argues for a 'silent approval' mechanism where commission recommendations automatically become law unless rejected by Congress, overcoming chronic political paralysis. This reform aims to stabilize federal debt at or below 100 percent of GDP and restore the solvency of Social Security and Medicare through gradual, predictable changes rather than crisis-driven panic.

    Read at CATO

  25. 25.

    This CFR guide outlines the 'America First' transformation of U.S. foreign policy during the first year of President Trump’s second term, emphasizing a shift toward unilateralism and aggressive economic nationalism. Key developments highlighted include the 2025 National Security Strategy's focus on regional dominance, the military capture of Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro, and significant withdrawals from international organizations and climate agreements. These policies have strained traditional alliances while prioritizing U.S. resource access and domestic border security over global humanitarian assistance. Ultimately, the administration's approach suggests a future of transactional global engagement and a preference for military-backed regime change over multilateral diplomacy.

    Read at CFR

  26. 26.
    2026-02-24 | society | Topics: China, Middle East, Russia, Ukraine, United States

    The State of the Union address is a foundational U.S. constitutional tradition that has evolved from a formal written report into a high-stakes televised event used to define presidential agendas. Historical data indicates that while the complexity of the speech's prose has decreased to reach a wider audience, actual television viewership has declined sharply over recent decades. Nonetheless, the address remains a critical mechanism for presidents to fulfill constitutional obligations and announce major foreign policy doctrines during periods of international instability.

    Read at CFR

  27. 27.
    2026-02-24 | energy | Topics: China, Climate, Indo-Pacific, Nuclear, United States

    The CFR Global Energy Tracker reveals that while high-carbon sources still account for 89% of energy consumption across 79 tracked countries, low-carbon alternatives are steadily rising, particularly in developed nations. Significant gains in renewable energy shares in the UK and China demonstrate the impact of declining technology costs, though global energy demand has already surpassed pre-pandemic levels by 6%. The data underscores an uneven global transition, with some nations like Norway and France leading in low-carbon reliance while others remain heavily dependent on coal. Consequently, policymakers must address these regional disparities and the persistent growth in total energy demand to accelerate effective decarbonization strategies.

    Read at CFR

  28. 28.
    2026-02-24 | energy | Topics: China, Indo-Pacific, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, United States

    Flash droughts are rapidly intensifying climate events that represent a new systemic risk because their speed collapses traditional warning timelines and overwhelms existing drought governance frameworks. These events, which have increased in frequency since the 1950s, cause disproportionate damage to agriculture and energy security, as seen in the 2012 U.S. losses and the 2010 Russian heatwave that triggered global food price spikes. To mitigate these risks, policymakers must establish flash droughts as a distinct category, leveraging high-resolution satellite data and anticipatory financing to trigger interventions before losses become inevitable.

    Read at CFR

  29. 29.
    2026-02-24 | economy | Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Trade, United States

    The U.S. Supreme Court ruled in Learning Resources Inc. v. Trump that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not authorize presidential tariffs, reaffirming that the power to tax resides with Congress. While this decision curtails broad executive trade authority, the administration is pivoting to alternative statutes like Section 122 and Section 301 to sustain its protectionist agenda, albeit with more procedural hurdles. The ruling necessitates a complex refund process for $160 billion in collected revenues, yet experts warn that persistent policy volatility will continue to create an 'uncertainty tax' on global investment and supply chains.

    Read at CSIS

  30. 30.
    2026-02-24 | economy | Topics: China, Climate, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, Taiwan, Trade, United States

    The Supreme Court's 2026 ruling that the IEEPA does not authorize presidential tariffs has upended U.S. trade policy, forcing an immediate shift to alternative authorities and creating significant legal uncertainty for $150 billion in revenues. CSIS experts argue that while this provides China with a tactical and propaganda advantage ahead of upcoming summits, it compels Congress to reclaim its constitutional role in defining a more strategic and stable trade framework. The analysis highlights that reliance on coercive tariffs alone has failed to curb the overall trade deficit or effectively reindustrialize the U.S., instead increasing costs for critical energy and technology supply chains. Consequently, the panel recommends a policy pivot toward a 'positive agenda' that prioritizes domestic innovation, infrastructure, and allied cooperation over blunt import substitution.

    Read at CSIS

  31. 31.
    2026-02-24 | health | Topics: Nuclear, United States

    A RAND survey of over 10,000 U.S. adults reveals that while broad support for legalizing psychedelics remains low compared to cannabis, there is significant public backing for their use in controlled medical and therapeutic settings. The study found that 23% support legal psilocybin use, with nearly half of respondents endorsing supervised administration at medical facilities to address specific health conditions. These findings suggest that public opinion is currently more aligned with medicalized models rather than open retail markets or personal cultivation. For policymakers, this indicates that legislative efforts focusing on supervised therapeutic access are likely to receive more public support than broader legalization frameworks.

    Read at RAND

  32. 32.
    2026-02-24 | defense | Topics: AI, Europe, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    This RAND report evaluates the Clader-Jacobs-Sprouse (CJS) quantum algorithm for calculating radar cross sections (RCS), finding that while it offers a theoretical exponential speedup over classical methods, it faces massive practical implementation hurdles. Quantitative estimates indicate that the computational resources required for even simple 2D models would currently result in runtimes exceeding the age of the universe on projected hardware, largely due to bottlenecks in Hamiltonian simulation and the overhead of quantum oracles. Consequently, quantum-driven breakthroughs in stealth aircraft design are unlikely in the near term, though policymakers should monitor advancements in unrelated fields like drug discovery that could eventually improve the underlying quantum subroutines.

    Read at RAND

  33. 33.
    2026-02-25 | economy | Topics: United States

    CATO argues that the Federal Reserve's Interest on Reserves (IOR) framework is a flawed and 'dangerous' tool that distorts private lending and reduces Treasury remittances. The article refutes Fed claims that IOR is cost-neutral and necessary for interest rate control, highlighting significant recent operating losses and the destruction of the interbank lending market. To address these issues, the author recommends a gradual 10-to-15-year reduction of the Fed's balance sheet to restore a traditional corridor system. The findings suggest that Congress should implement serious monetary reforms rather than treating the Fed as an infallible institution.

    Read at CATO

  34. 34.
    2026-02-25 | society | Topics: United States

    The CATO article examines how the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) has effectively insulated Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) from government shutdowns by shifting its funding from annual discretionary appropriations to multi-year mandatory spending. By providing $75 billion in budget authority—seven times ICE’s typical annual budget—legislators utilized the reconciliation process to bypass traditional fiscal checks and balances. This shift significantly erodes Congressional oversight, as agencies no longer need annual legislative approval to operate, while weakening the minority party's ability to extract policy concessions. Ultimately, this precedent encourages fiscal irresponsibility and institutional norm erosion, as future administrations may similarly exploit reconciliation to bypass budgetary trade-offs.

    Read at CATO

  35. 35.
    2026-02-25 | energy | Topics: Climate, United States

    The Heritage Foundation argues that reversing the EPA’s endangerment finding on greenhouse gases is a major deregulatory victory that removes the legal basis for over $1 trillion in compliance costs. The article contends that the original finding relied on flawed climate models and created a false choice between economic prosperity and environmental protection. By dismantling these regulations, the administration aims to unleash the U.S. energy sector while promoting a model of 'stewardship' that balances industrial growth with responsible conservation.

    Read at Heritage

  36. 36.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: AI, NATO, Trade, United States

    Brookings scholars characterize the current state of the U.S. Union as a period of significant institutional imbalance and 'dissonance' across governance, economics, and security. Evidence includes a depleted federal workforce due to administrative layoffs, the politicization of military leadership, and persistent household frustration over structural affordability despite moderate official inflation. These trends imply a weakening of the separation of powers and a potential breakdown in traditional global alliances, leading to a more volatile and less predictable policy environment. Consequently, the U.S. faces a heightened risk of institutional instability that could impair its ability to respond to future domestic and international crises.

    Read at Brookings

  37. 37.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: Indo-Pacific, Nuclear, Trade, United States

    The Brookings report finds that President Trump’s second-term staffing strategy has prioritized loyalty and extensive pre-transition planning, leading to a more stable senior staff but a highly centralized executive branch. Key evidence includes a record-setting initial pace of nominations facilitated by a 2025 Senate rule change, contrasted by an unprecedented wave of firings targeting inspectors general and officials with 'for-cause' protections. These actions suggest a deliberate effort to remove institutional guardrails and consolidate political power within the White House, significantly reducing the independence of federal agencies.

    Read at Brookings

  38. 38.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: AI, China, Climate, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, Russia, Taiwan, Trade, United States

    This Brookings report finds that the Trump administration’s second-term China strategy has produced significant rhetoric but few measurable results after one year. Key economic indicators like manufacturing employment and industrial production remain stagnant despite high-profile investment pledges, while U.S. global standing among allies has declined sharply. In technology, inconsistent export controls and infrastructure bottlenecks are straining America’s lead in AI against a more self-sufficient Chinese ecosystem. Consequently, the administration must shift from transactional signaling to sustained policy execution and alliance rebuilding to effectively reduce strategic dependencies and counter Beijing's influence.

    Read at Brookings

  39. 39.
    2026-02-26 | economy | Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Russia, Taiwan, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    The Supreme Court's ruling in Learning Resources Inc. v. Trump invalidated the use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) for broad tariffs, reasserting that the power to raise revenue resides with Congress under the Taxing Clause. While the decision eliminates the administration’s primary tool for immediate, open-ended duties, Brookings experts note that significant economic uncertainty persists as the executive branch pivots to alternative authorities like Sections 122, 232, and 301. This shift may force more deliberate, evidence-based trade investigations and increase legislative accountability, yet it also threatens to exacerbate federal deficits and complicate relations with key allies in Europe and the Indo-Pacific.

    Read at Brookings

  40. 40.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: Indo-Pacific, United States

    The Brookings Institution highlights the growing disconnect between educational systems and labor market needs, which complicates the transition from school to high-wage employment for students and workers. The event examines how fragmented pathways—including degrees, apprenticeships, and work-based learning—often lack the alignment necessary to provide learners with relevant experience or employers with skilled talent. Panelists argue for systemic reforms to make high school more career-relevant, postsecondary options more affordable, and professional entry points more accessible for lifelong learners. Ultimately, building clearer pathways to 'good work' requires better coordination between educational institutions and employers to ensure workforce development meets modern economic demands.

    Read at Brookings

  41. 41.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: Middle East, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    President Trump's 2026 State of the Union address prioritized showmanship and base mobilization over addressing the concerns of swing voters or the ongoing affordability crisis. While highlighting positive economic indicators and military successes, the President doubled down on controversial immigration enforcement and tariff policies that face significant public opposition. This strategy suggests a focus on the 2026 midterms through base consolidation rather than outreach to key declining demographics like Hispanics and independents. Consequently, the administration risks further alienating moderate voters who remain primarily concerned with inflation and healthcare costs.

    Read at Brookings

  42. 42.
    2026-02-26 | defense | Topics: China, Middle East, Nuclear, Russia, United States

    The United States is entering an increasingly dangerous nuclear era as Russia and China simultaneously modernize and expand their arsenals, presenting the unprecedented challenge of facing two nuclear peers. The collapse of the New START treaty has removed critical constraints on strategic forces, while regional instabilities in Iran and the Korean Peninsula further exacerbate the threat environment. These developments are placing immense strain on U.S. extended deterrence commitments and raising risks of allied nuclear proliferation. Consequently, policymakers must urgently reassess foundational assumptions regarding nuclear posture, modernization, and the integration of emerging defense technologies like the "Golden Dome" missile system.

    Read at Brookings

  43. 43.
    2026-02-26 | economy | Topics: United States

    U.S. electricity prices have outpaced inflation in over half of the states since 2019, creating a growing cost-of-living crisis and potentially harming national economic competitiveness. This trend is expected to persist, straining household budgets and undermining industrial activity unless credible policy solutions are implemented to address complex regional pricing variations. To mitigate these impacts, experts are analyzing the underlying regulatory and market drivers to identify strategies for reining in costs for both consumers and industry.

    Read at Brookings

  44. 44.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: United States

    The United States faces an imminent risk of 'fiscal dominance,' where unsustainable federal debt levels may eventually force the Federal Reserve to abandon its inflation-control mandate to finance government spending. Projections indicate that by 2036, mandatory spending on entitlements and interest payments will consume 100% of federal revenue, with the impending depletion of Social Security and Medicare trust funds by 2032 serving as a critical market inflection point. To avert a sovereign debt crisis and persistent inflation, Congress must implement structural entitlement reforms, establish a credible deficit target of 3% of GDP, and utilize a bipartisan fiscal commission to overcome political inertia.

    Read at CATO

  45. 45.
    2026-02-26 | economy | Topics: Trade, United States

    The Trump administration's invocation of Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 to impose 10 percent tariffs is legally suspect because it incorrectly substitutes 'trade deficits' for the statute's requirement of 'balance-of-payments' problems. Economists and the administration's own prior legal filings confirm these concepts are distinct, especially since the U.S. floating exchange rate system currently allows for easy financing of trade imbalances without a payments crisis. Ultimately, the administration is likely using this authority as a 150-day temporary bridge to sustain protectionist policies while bypassing Congressional approval and preparing alternative legal justifications.

    Read at CATO

  46. 46.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: Trade, United States

    The Cato Institute argues for the immediate termination of the SEC’s Consolidated Audit Trail (CAT), characterizing it as an unconstitutional surveillance system that threatens investor privacy and security. The report cites significant vulnerabilities in the massive database, which processes 58 billion records daily, alongside the SEC’s inability to prevent unauthorized data disclosures. Furthermore, it asserts that the program bypasses Fourth Amendment protections by collecting sensitive financial data without judicial warrants. Consequently, the author calls on Congress or the SEC to dismantle the CAT to prevent further incursions into financial privacy and mitigate systemic cyber risks.

    Read at CATO

  47. 47.
    2026-02-26 | health

    The commencement of class-action trials against social media platforms over 'addiction' claims marks a pivotal moment that will shape the legal and policy landscape for youth online safety. Critics of the litigation argue that 'social media addiction' lacks a formal medical classification and that existing parental controls and user features already provide sufficient mitigation for excessive use. Ultimately, a ruling for the plaintiffs could force significant changes to platform features like autoplay and algorithms, while a defense victory would likely strengthen First Amendment challenges against state-level age verification and content restriction laws.

    Read at CATO

  48. 48.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: United States

    The article argues that the U.S. legal system increasingly favors the state through broad sovereign and qualified immunity doctrines that shield government agencies and officials from accountability. By examining the cases of USPS v. Konan and NRA v. Vullo, the author illustrates how expanding legal exceptions and 'clearly established law' requirements protect even intentional discrimination and regulatory coercion. These developments create a 'double lock' on justice, effectively transforming constitutional guarantees into unenforceable suggestions and leaving citizens without redress for proven misconduct.

    Read at CATO

  49. 49.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: Trade, United States

    President Trump's proposed 'war on fraud' is insufficient to balance the federal budget because the primary drivers of the deficit are structural entitlement spending and interest costs, not just improper payments. While fraud accounts for up to $521 billion annually, the projected decade-long deficit of $24 trillion far exceeds even the most optimistic savings from fraud elimination. Consequently, the article argues that authentic fiscal stability requires fundamental reforms to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid rather than superficial anti-fraud campaigns or economically unfeasible tariff strategies.

    Read at CATO

  50. 50.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: United States

    This CATO Institute report argues that federal-state financing structures for welfare programs create misaligned incentives that encourage widespread fraud and fiscal exploitation. Because states administer programs like SNAP and Medicaid while federal taxpayers bear the majority of costs, states lack the financial motivation to prevent improper payments or close administrative loopholes. The author recommends transitioning to block grants or per-capita spending caps to force states to take greater responsibility for program integrity. Ultimately, the report contends that ending federal aid to state programs is necessary to ensure policymakers remain accountable to taxpayers for every dollar spent.

    Read at CATO

  51. 51.
    2026-02-26 | health | Topics: Trade, United States

    President Trump faces growing political disapproval as American households remain frustrated by high price levels for essentials like food and electricity despite modest real wage gains. The article argues that the administration's own policies, including tariffs, immigration restrictions, and high budget deficits, are contributing to stagflationary pressures and undermining fiscal stability. Consequently, the failure to deliver immediate price reductions has allowed political opponents to gain traction with 'affordability' narratives and proposals for direct economic intervention.

    Read at CATO

  52. 52.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: United States

    The article critiques the proliferation of special-purpose, tax-advantaged savings accounts, arguing that they create a complex maze of rules that discourages saving among those who need liquidity most. It highlights that new initiatives like Trump Accounts and the HUSTLE Act shift savings tools toward government transfer programs requiring restrictive guardrails and penalties. To improve financial resilience and reduce bureaucratic friction, the author recommends replacing this fragmented system with a single Universal Savings Account (USA). This proposed model would allow for flexible, tax-free withdrawals for any purpose without the paternalistic micromanagement inherent in the current niche account structure.

    Read at CATO

  53. 53.
    2026-02-26 | economy | Topics: China, Trade, United States

    The U.S. Supreme Court struck down President Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose broad tariffs, ruling 6-3 that the executive branch lacks the authority to levy taxes without specific congressional delegation. The Court reasoned that IEEPA’s authorization to "regulate importation" does not textually or historically encompass the power to impose duties, which remains a constitutional prerogative of Congress. While the decision triggers a massive refund process for affected importers and forces a pivot to shorter-term Section 122 authorities, it leaves other major trade statutes, such as Section 232 and Section 301, largely untouched.

    Read at CFR

  54. 54.
    2026-02-26 | economy | Topics: China, Trade, United States

    The Supreme Court's ruling that the IEEPA does not authorize tariffs constrains the U.S. President's ability to deploy immediate trade barriers, shifting economic statecraft from executive brinkmanship toward slower institutional processes. While established Section 301 and 232 tariffs remain valid, the decision invalidates recent emergency duties and forces the administration to rely on procedural tools like Section 122 or new investigations. This change provides Beijing with a tactical advantage and more time to maneuver ahead of high-stakes negotiations, as U.S. threats now require greater legal and legislative consensus. Consequently, the trade rivalry will likely become more predictable and rule-bound, though structural tensions between the two powers persist.

    Read at CFR

  55. 55.

    A 6-3 U.S. Supreme Court ruling striking down tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) has created significant trade policy volatility, forcing the White House to pivot to Section 122 authorities to maintain levies. Key trading partners including India, Malaysia, and Indonesia are responding by delaying the ratification or implementation of trade deals originally negotiated under the shadow of the now-illegal tariffs. While the decision offers a temporary legal check on executive trade power, the administration's immediate recourse to alternative authorities indicates a sustained period of trade friction and damaged diplomatic leverage in future economic negotiations.

    Read at CFR

  56. 56.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    Total U.S. aid to Ukraine reached $188 billion by late 2025, though no new aid legislation has been passed since April 2024, leading European contributions to collectively surpass U.S. support. While the Trump administration continues to deliver previously appropriated funds and facilitates third-party weapon transfers via the PURL program, it has shifted the U.S. stance toward acting as an impartial peace broker. This development underscores a significant pivot in transatlantic burden-sharing and suggests a potential winding down of direct American military assistance.

    Read at CFR

  57. 57.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    As the Russia-Ukraine war enters its fifth year, a panel of CFR experts argues that Europe must transition from emergency response to a long-term, self-reliant security and recovery architecture. The recommendations emphasize integrating Ukraine’s innovative defense industrial base into European supply chains and preparing for overt Russian provocations that may require European action independent of U.S. support. Strategically, this necessitates balancing robust military deterrence with diplomatic dialogue and modernizing humanitarian aid through agile public-private partnerships to ensure regional stability during and after the conflict.

    Read at CFR

  58. 58.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: China, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, Nuclear, Russia, Taiwan, United States

    Max Boot argues that the Trump administration must heed military warnings regarding the high risks of a sustained conflict with Iran, which poses far greater dangers than previous limited strikes. Key concerns include potential Iranian attacks on regional oil infrastructure, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and a critical depletion of U.S. precision-guided munitions required for other global theaters like China and Russia. Additionally, the author notes that extended naval deployments are straining military readiness while a lack of regional ally support complicates any exit strategy. Consequently, a prolonged conflict could severely weaken U.S. strategic posture and global economic stability without guaranteed regime concessions.

    Read at CFR

  59. 59.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, Nuclear, Trade, United States

    The report argues that the United States must urgently prepare for an imminent leadership transition in Iran—ranging from managed clerical continuity to an IRGC-led military takeover or total regime collapse—following recent internal uprisings and regional conflict. It highlights that while a democratic shift is unlikely in the near term, the transition will likely trigger opportunistic escalation by proxy groups and increased internal repression. Consequently, U.S. strategy should focus on maintaining a strong regional deterrent, supporting Iranian civil society's connectivity, and readying diplomatic frameworks for nuclear transparency and hostage release.

    Read at CFR

  60. 60.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: Europe, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Ukraine, United States

    This brief warns that Europe must prepare to independently counter potential low-level Russian conventional attacks, such as drone strikes, as Moscow may exploit declining transatlantic trust to undermine NATO's collective defense. The authors argue that Russia's shift from hybrid 'gray zone' tactics to overt provocations could expose a perceived lack of U.S. reliability, particularly as Washington prioritizes securing a Ukraine peace deal. To mitigate this risk, European governments are urged to establish autonomous command structures, develop independent response menus in coordination with Ukraine, and rapidly bolster native air defense and intelligence capabilities.

    Read at CFR

  61. 61.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: Europe, Indo-Pacific, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    CFR analysts argue that Western policymakers must immediately begin planning for a post-settlement Europe, as a ceasefire in Ukraine will not eliminate Russia's long-term security threat but rather shift it toward hybrid warfare and military testing of NATO cohesion. Potential risks include deepening transatlantic friction over sanctions relief and commercial normalization with Moscow, alongside intra-European disputes regarding defense burden-sharing. To mitigate these threats, the report recommends a G7-coordinated Russia strategy, a revitalized 'Harmel-style' NATO blueprint for dual-track deterrence, and the implementation of new Europe-wide risk reduction measures to stabilize the expanded NATO-Russia border.

    Read at CFR

  62. 62.
    2026-02-26 | defense | Topics: AI, Europe, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    Ukraine’s defense industrial base (DIB) has transformed from a wartime survival mechanism into a high-tech pillar of European security and a central driver for the country's postwar economic renewal. Driven by a 100-fold increase in defense-tech investment and the production of millions of drones, the sector is pivoting toward industrial-scale exports and coproduction models with European allies. The establishment of Ukrainian defense export centers across Europe signals a shift from aid dependency to strategic partnership, aiming to synchronize regulatory standards and attract private venture capital. Successfully integrating this mil-tech ecosystem will require Western policy support for joint certification and risk-sharing to overcome domestic governance hurdles and maximize Europe's collective deterrence.

    Read at CFR

  63. 63.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: NATO, Russia, Ukraine, United States

    The report argues that Ukraine's humanitarian response faces a critical gap due to massive international funding cuts and the inherent bureaucratic slowness of the United Nations system. It highlights that while the UN excels at resource mobilization, it lacks the flexibility of local NGOs or the now-defunct USAID Office of Transition Initiatives (OTI) to respond quickly to shifting frontline needs. To bridge this gap, the author proposes a new public-private partnership mechanism that institutionalizes OTI’s agile grant model while integrating specialized private-sector capabilities. This strategic pivot is deemed essential for maintaining aid effectiveness as the conflict evolves and eventually transitions toward long-term reconstruction.

    Read at CFR

  64. 64.
    2026-02-26 | defense | Topics: AI, China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    As the Russia-Ukraine war enters its fifth year, the conflict has evolved into a protracted struggle characterized by stalled U.S.-led peace efforts and a strategic shift toward European leadership in military support. High-intensity fighting has resulted in over 465,000 total casualties and a projected $588 billion reconstruction cost, highlighting the severe long-term impact on regional energy infrastructure and economic stability. This transition toward a European-led 'Coalition of the Willing' reflects a pivot in great-power dynamics, suggesting that future conflicts will require sustained societal mobilization and resilient regional alliances.

    Read at CFR

  65. 65.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: Climate, Europe, NATO, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    The 2026 Munich Security Conference exposed significant geopolitical rifts between the United States and its traditional allies over strategic autonomy and the future of international institutions. While European leaders advocated for a more independent Europe and a values-based NATO, U.S. officials emphasized that any restoration of the international system would occur strictly on American terms. This divergence highlights growing friction regarding free trade, climate change, and support for Ukraine, prompting middle powers like Canada to consider new security and economic partnerships. Ultimately, the conference suggests that the vision of a truly independent Europe remains unfulfilled amidst strained transatlantic relations.

    Read at CFR

  66. 66.

    Ukraine’s trajectory from 1991 to 2026 demonstrates a persistent struggle for independence defined by Russian military aggression and a shifting international security architecture. Milestones such as the 1994 Budapest Memorandum and the 2022 invasion highlight the failure of early security guarantees, leading to a war of attrition with combined casualties reaching an estimated 1.8 million by early 2026. Recent developments indicate a pivot toward bilateral U.S.-Russia peace summits that often exclude Ukrainian representation, creating a strategic tension between continued Western military support and great-power diplomacy. Ultimately, the ongoing targeting of energy infrastructure and deadlocked negotiations suggest that Ukraine's sovereignty remains precarious despite sustained G7 and NATO commitments.

    Read at CFR

  67. 67.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: China, Cybersecurity, Indo-Pacific, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    The global dominance of U.S. cloud "hyperscalers" is increasingly viewed by international partners as an untenable strategic vulnerability rather than a commercial convenience. Following the weaponization of digital infrastructure against Russia and the Trump administration's perceived erratic foreign policy, nations like India and the Netherlands are accelerating efforts to build sovereign cloud platforms to reduce American dependence. This erosion of trust threatens long-term U.S. digital influence and may cede market share to Chinese competitors as allies prioritize technological autonomy over the cost-efficiency of American platforms.

    Read at CFR

  68. 68.
    2026-02-26 | defense | Topics: AI, China, Europe, Middle East, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    The war in Ukraine has inaugurated a new era of 'precise mass' warfare, characterized by the deployment of millions of low-cost autonomous drones that are reshaping the battlefield and blurring traditional front lines. Key evidence includes Ukraine's rapid production of millions of drones and the critical role of Silicon Valley firms in providing AI and satellite connectivity, which often bypasses traditional, slower defense procurement cycles. These developments imply that the U.S. and its allies must urgently adapt their defense industrial bases to prioritize both high-volume production and rapid innovation while managing the strategic risks associated with private sector control of essential military technologies.

    Read at CFR

  69. 69.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    President Trump’s State of the Union address prioritized domestic economic issues and immigration while framing his 'peace through strength' doctrine as a success in stabilizing global conflicts. He defended the continuation of tariffs despite judicial setbacks and highlighted the recognition of a new interim government in Venezuela as a major shift in Western Hemisphere policy. These developments suggest an administration focused on transactional diplomacy and protectionist economic measures, emphasizing increased burden-sharing from both international allies and domestic technology firms.

    Read at CFR

  70. 70.

    The symposium concludes that while current AI-driven investment mirrors the speculative mania of 1929, the primary systemic risk stems from a combination of high sovereign debt and potential policy errors rather than market volatility alone. Panelists noted parallels such as the democratization of finance through leverage and a growing gap between massive AI capital expenditures and realized revenues. To avoid a repeat of the Great Depression's domino effect, experts advocate for proactive financial regulation and caution that current high debt levels may limit the effectiveness of traditional crisis intervention strategies.

    Read at CFR

  71. 71.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: China, Climate, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, United States

    The U.S. Supreme Court struck down President Trump’s sweeping tariffs imposed under the International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA), ruling that the statute does not grant the executive branch the authority to levy duties. The Court reasoned that the Constitution reserves taxing powers for Congress and that IEEPA’s power to 'regulate' imports is distinct from the power to tax. Consequently, the administration has pivoted to Section 122 for temporary 150-day tariffs while launching 'expedited' Section 301 investigations to secure a longer-term legal foundation for its trade agenda. This shift highlights a significant constitutional reinforcement of congressional authority, even as the executive maintains protectionist policies through alternative statutory frameworks.

    Read at CFR

  72. 72.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, Russia, Taiwan, Trade, United States

    The Supreme Court’s ruling that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not authorize presidential tariffs strips the administration of its most flexible geoeconomic weapon, forcing a shift toward more bureaucratic trade authorities. Experts suggest the executive branch will likely invoke Section 122 for temporary 150-day tariffs while initiating formal investigations under Sections 301 and 232 to reconstruct the previous tariff regime. This transition creates significant business uncertainty regarding potential refunds and trade agreement stability, and may paradoxically lead to a more aggressive use of alternative tools like export controls and financial sanctions.

    Read at CFR

  73. 73.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: China, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    This CFR event centered on the documentary 'Atomic Echoes,' which examines the multi-generational human and health consequences of the 1945 atomic bombings for both Japanese survivors and American 'atomic veterans.' The discussion highlighted how historical classification and the focus on strategic deterrence often obscure the long-term trauma and radiation-related illnesses suffered by individuals on both sides of the conflict. Policy implications include the urgent need to address the erosion of international nuclear guardrails following the expiration of treaties like New START and the rising risk of inadvertent escalation. Panelists emphasized that human-centered narratives are essential for engaging the public in contemporary debates over nuclear modernization and the sole authority of the executive branch in weapon deployment.

    Read at CFR

  74. 74.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: China, Climate, Europe, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    European leaders at the 2026 CFR symposium characterized the war in Ukraine as a generational conflict that has fundamentally transformed Russia into a direct, long-term threat to the continent. To maintain support amidst uncertain U.S. funding, European nations are aggressively increasing defense spending and industrial capacity while fostering Ukraine’s own domestic military-industrial base. Strategic priorities have shifted toward 'strategic autonomy' within NATO, emphasizing robust security guarantees and the deep integration of Ukraine into Western institutions to ensure a durable peace. The panel concluded that European security now depends on transitioning from security consumption to active partnership through sustained military and economic commitment.

    Read at CFR

  75. 75.

    Ambassador Robert Blackwill proposes a "resolute global leadership" grand strategy that fuses superior military primacy with a muscular revitalization of the rules-based international order. He argues that recent liberal internationalism proved too passive against adversaries like China and Russia, while the transactional "Trumpism" approach dangerously abandons the alliances and moral frameworks essential to U.S. security. To restore influence, the report advocates for a significant increase in the defense budget, winning the AI technology race, and pivoting military resources to Asia to deter Chinese hegemony.

    Read at CFR

  76. 76.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: China, Russia, Ukraine, United States

    Veteran journalist Alan Cullison argues that effective foreign policy reporting and analysis must be grounded in human empathy and the study of individual personalities rather than abstract political theory. Drawing on three decades of experience in Russia and Afghanistan, Cullison demonstrates how focusing on the 'fragments' of conflict—such as personal tragedies or investigative leads like liberated al-Qaeda hard drives—provides deeper insights into geopolitical shifts than conventional high-level reporting. For policymakers and analysts, these reflections highlight that robust intelligence depends on maintaining a diverse ecosystem of 'honest interpreters' who possess the linguistic and cultural immersion necessary to navigate chaotic international environments.

    Read at CFR

  77. 77.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Russia, United States

    This retrospective analyzes the legacy of John Foster Dulles, a central figure in 1950s U.S. foreign policy known for his doctrines of 'massive retaliation,' 'brinkmanship,' and 'rollback.' While Dulles provided the bold moral and rhetorical framework for American exceptionalism during the Cold War, historical evidence suggests President Eisenhower maintained ultimate control over policy decisions, often opting for caution over Dulles's aggressive stances. The article also highlights the damaging long-term effects of Dulles’s purge of State Department experts on U.S. diplomatic intelligence and regional expertise.

    Read at CFR

  78. 78.
    2026-02-26 | economy | Topics: Climate, Indo-Pacific, Trade, United States

    This report argues that kava trade offers a strategic 'trade, not aid' pathway for the United States to revitalize relations with Pacific Island nations following the dismantling of USAID. With the global kava market valued at up to $3 billion, the crop represents a vital economic engine for major exporters like Fiji and Vanuatu. The authors recommend leveraging the Millennium Challenge Corporation and Development Finance Corporation to address structural barriers, including agricultural financing gaps and climate-related infrastructure needs. By fostering these niche commercial ties, Washington can reinforce its strategic presence and support Pacific-led development goals in a geopolitically contested region.

    Read at CSIS

  79. 79.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: China, Europe, Trade, United States

    The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not authorize the President to impose tariffs, asserting that taxation power is reserved exclusively for Congress. While the ruling creates a significant legal hurdle for executive trade authority, the administration is already seeking to reimpose tariffs through alternative statutes like Section 122 and Section 232. The decision triggers a massive $170 billion refund process for businesses and potentially weakens the U.S. negotiating position by undermining previous trade concessions forced by the now-invalidated IEEPA tariffs.

    Read at CSIS

  80. 80.
    2026-02-26 | diplomacy | Topics: Climate, Europe, Middle East, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    Four years after Russia's full-scale invasion, Ukraine's grain exports remain 35% below pre-war levels due to extensive landmine contamination, destroyed irrigation infrastructure, and acute labor shortages. While Russia initially surged to dominate 22% of the global wheat market by weaponizing appropriated Ukrainian land and infrastructure, its own production is now threatened by adverse weather and a shrinking agricultural workforce. Despite a decline from the 2022 price peak, global food security remains fragile as the war continues to suppress the output of a top producer, limiting the market's ability to absorb future shocks. Strategic recovery for Ukraine necessitates rapid EU integration, modernization of decentralized export logistics, and enhanced maritime defense to secure Black Sea trade routes.

    Read at CSIS

  81. 81.
    2026-02-26 | defense | Topics: AI, China, Indo-Pacific, Nuclear, Russia, Taiwan, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    Xi Jinping has conducted an unprecedented purge of the People's Liberation Army (PLA), removing over 100 senior officers and nearly decapitating the Central Military Commission to ensure absolute political loyalty. This campaign has created a significant leadership void, with approximately 52% of top positions impacted, severely undermining the PLA's near-term readiness for complex military operations like a Taiwan invasion. While the purges disrupt immediate capabilities, they enable Xi to replace the 'old guard' with a younger, more technically literate generation of 'intelligentized' officers. Long-term implications include a potentially more aggressive military that is ideologically subservient, though at a heightened risk of strategic miscalculation due to the suppression of realistic operational advice.

    Read at CSIS

  82. 82.
    2026-02-26 | defense | Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, NATO, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

    Marking the fourth anniversary of the full-scale invasion, this analysis highlights that Russia’s military efforts have devolved into a slow-moving war of attrition characterized by unprecedented casualties (1.2 million) and a stagnating economy. Despite minimal territorial gains, Russia has intensified its drone campaign, while Ukraine faces a staggering $588 billion reconstruction challenge and a vulnerable centralized energy grid. Crucially, the financial burden of military support is shifting from the U.S. to Europe, requiring new procurement mechanisms like the Prioritized Ukraine Requirements List (PURL) to sustain Ukraine’s defense.

    Read at CSIS

  83. 83.

    Four years after Russia's invasion, the conflict has evolved into a long-term war of attrition that requires a transition from short-term aid to a generational strategy for European security. Despite significant casualties and sanctions, Russia has maintained its war effort through economic ties with China and the Global South, while Ukraine has successfully shifted toward deeper defense industrial cooperation with European partners. Experts suggest that because Russia's maximalist goals remain unchanged, Western policymakers must prepare for a multiyear struggle focused on conventional deterrence and cautious escalation management.

    Read at CSIS

  84. 84.
    2026-02-26 | defense | Topics: China, Indo-Pacific

    China's People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) is rapidly advancing its 'blue-water' capabilities, marked by a significant increase in aircraft carrier operations beyond the first island chain. In 2025, the Liaoning and Shandong carriers spent a record 58 days in the Western Pacific, conducting approximately 1,680 sorties and their first simultaneous deployment in the region. This trend signals a strategic shift toward sustained power projection far from Chinese shores, directly challenging established maritime security dynamics. Consequently, regional and global actors must reassess their naval strategies to account for the PLAN's growing reach and operational complexity.

    Read at CSIS

  85. 85.
    2026-02-26 | other | Topics: Climate, Indo-Pacific, Trade

    This update outlines significant legislative and policy changes across several Indian states, highlighting Maharashtra's new climate finance strategy and Kerala's ambitious 2026 IT policy aimed at tripling IT space. Key developments include Gujarat's expansion of health insurance coverage to 27 million citizens and amendments to labor laws allowing women to work night shifts. These measures reflect a decentralized approach to addressing climate change, digital infrastructure, and social welfare, with direct implications for regional economic competitiveness and public service delivery in India.

    Read at CSIS

  86. 86.
    2026-02-26 | defense | Topics: Europe, Russia, Trade, Ukraine

    Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Ukraine’s Ambassador to the UK, argues that future warfare will be defined by autonomous robotic systems, necessitating international 'technological alliances' over traditional treaty frameworks. He emphasizes that no single nation can master all critical military technologies, requiring a collective approach to counter threats and ensure military effectiveness with fewer casualties. To secure victory, Zaluzhnyi advocates for sustained economic pressure to push Russia's economy to a breaking point, highlighting a strategic shift toward technology-sharing and economic attrition as primary tools of modern defense.

    Read at Chatham House

  87. 87.
    2026-02-26 | other | Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East

    Chatham House has appointed senior British diplomat Owen Jenkins as Research Director for Africa, the Middle East and North Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Jenkins brings extensive experience from the UK's Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office, including roles as Director General for the Indo-Pacific and Ambassador to Indonesia. His appointment is strategically designed to enhance the institute's analysis of the evolving world order, shifting global alliances, and the rising influence of regional powers. This move integrates high-level diplomatic expertise into the institute's executive leadership to strengthen its external influence and policy impact across the Global South.

    Read at Chatham House

  88. 88.
    2026-02-26 | defense | Topics: Europe, NATO, Russia, Ukraine

    As the US scales back military support and pressures Ukraine for a quick peace settlement, European nations are stepping up to replace the US as Ukraine's primary donor and security guarantor. Kyiv faces significant domestic pressure against territorial concessions, while European allies are 'Trump-proofing' support through massive financial aid, new procurement mechanisms, and direct investment in Ukraine's defense industrial base. This strategic shift integrates Ukraine into Europe’s security architecture and leverages battlefield innovations, such as low-cost drone production, to sustain Ukraine's long-term defensive capabilities. Consequently, Europe's proactive role is essential for ensuring Ukraine can resist coercive diplomacy and negotiate from a position of strength.

    Read at Chatham House

  89. 89.
    2026-02-26 | society | Topics: Middle East

    The film 'The President’s Cake' examines how authoritarian power in Iraq was sustained through everyday social practices and internal control rather than through coercion alone. It highlights that regime durability often depends on the shaping of societal behavior to reinforce compliance under oppressive systems. These insights are critical for understanding contemporary Middle Eastern political trajectories, state-society relations, and the enduring legacies of authoritarian control on reform prospects.

    Read at Chatham House

  90. 90.
    2026-02-26 | health

    This article refutes recent media reports claiming a high rate of fund misuse in Arizona's Empowerment Scholarship Accounts (ESA) school choice program. The author argues that the reported 20% misspending rate is a gross exaggeration derived from a non-representative sample of transactions already flagged for audit. In reality, actual misspending is likely below 2% of total funds, a rate significantly lower than those found in other government programs like Medicaid or food stamps.

    Read at Heritage

  91. 91.
    2026-02-26 | health | Topics: United States

    This RAND report identifies five key strategies for health system and emergency department leaders to accelerate the adoption of clinical care innovations during public health emergencies. Drawing on focus groups and a nationwide survey of over 1,600 clinicians, the study found that innovation diffusion was often uneven and outpaced by the COVID-19 pandemic’s spread. Strategic recommendations include establishing pre-emergency communication networks, creating dedicated teams for 'living' evidence-based guidance, and utilizing real-time dashboards to monitor operating conditions. These actions aim to bridge the gap between emerging evidence and frontline practice, ensuring that health systems can rapidly implement effective treatments while discontinuing harmful ones during future crises.

    Read at RAND

  92. 92.
    2026-02-26 | health | Topics: United States

    Frontline emergency department (ED) clinicians can play a pivotal role in accelerating the adoption of clinical innovations and retiring ineffective practices during public health emergencies by engaging in proactive networking and evidence-sharing. This RAND study, based on a four-year analysis of COVID-19 responses including surveys of over 1,600 healthcare professionals, identifies six specific strategies across pre-emergency and active-emergency phases. To bolster future pandemic resilience, health systems and policymakers must support clinician-led initiatives such as interprofessional information networks and bedside evidence-informed decision-making tools to ensure more agile and equitable care delivery.

    Read at RAND

  93. 93.
    2026-02-26 | health | Topics: China, United States

    This RAND report outlines five strategic actions for influential emergency department clinicians on digital media to enhance the rapid and effective diffusion of clinical care innovations during public health emergencies. Drawing on a four-year study of the COVID-19 pandemic—including focus groups, interviews, and surveys of over 1,600 healthcare professionals—the researchers emphasize the necessity of transparency, collaborative partnerships with medical societies, and multimedia "how-to" content. Implementing these strategies aims to mitigate the uneven adoption of medical advancements and ensure a more synchronized, evidence-based healthcare response to future crises.

    Read at RAND