ThinkTankWeekly

What It Will Take to Change the Regime in Iran

Foreign Affairs | 2026-02-27 | middle_east

Topics: Middle East, United States

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English Summary

The article argues that the Islamic Republic of Iran is currently at its most vulnerable point since its founding, suggesting significant internal and external pressures. Key evidence cited includes recent U.S./Israeli attacks that degraded Iran's military and nuclear capacity, coupled with widespread domestic uprisings and severe, unmanageable economic and environmental crises. These combined factors indicate that the regime's stability is severely compromised, implying that major policy shifts or coordinated international action may be necessary to fundamentally alter the political landscape of the country.

中文摘要

本文論點指出,伊朗伊斯蘭共和國目前正處於自成立以來最脆弱的時期,這源於內部和外部雙重壓力。文章援引的關鍵證據包括近期美/以色列的攻擊,這些攻擊削弱了伊朗的軍事和核能力;同時,國內爆發了廣泛的起義,並面臨嚴重且難以管理的經濟和環境危機。這些複合因素表明該政權的穩定性已受到嚴重動搖,暗示著必須進行重大的政策轉變或協調的國際行動,才能從根本上改變該國的政治格局。

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