The article argues that the post-Cold War era of U.S. unipolarity, established by the perceived invincibility demonstrated during the Gulf War, has ended. This decline is driven by globalization and technological diffusion, which have democratized advanced military capabilities, allowing regional actors to challenge major powers. Consequently, policymakers must prepare for a more volatile international order marked by frequent crises, heightened costs for securing global trade chokepoints, and reduced predictability from American power. The new rules dictate that great powers can no longer effortlessly impose their will through force.
The ISNAD Campaign Against Israel—Toward a New Strategy?
English Summary
The ISNAD influence campaign, linked to the Muslim Brotherhood, has pivoted from a wartime focus on ending the Gaza conflict to a long-term 'sociological warfare' strategy targeting Israel’s internal social fabric. Evidence from social media analysis indicates a shift toward narratives that delegitimize state institutions, foster extreme political polarization, and encourage emigration to undermine national cohesion. This evolution into a more professionalized and defensive operation suggests that Israel must treat such civilian-led digital campaigns as significant threats to its long-term social resilience and national security.
中文摘要
與穆斯林兄弟會有關的 ISNAD 影響力行動，已將重點從戰時結束加薩衝突轉向針對以色列內部社會結構的長期「社會學戰爭」策略。社群媒體分析證據顯示，其敘事正轉向削弱國家機構的正當性、煽動極端政治極化，並透過鼓勵移民來破壞國家凝聚力。這種向更專業化與防禦性運作的演變，顯示以色列必須將此類民間發起的數位行動，視為對其長期社會韌性與國家安全的重大威脅。
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