The article argues that modern conflicts are increasingly defined by attrition, driven by three strategic gaps: the difference between nominal military power and usable capacity; the difficulty of achieving breakthroughs in a technologically advanced battlefield; and the detachment of military means from clear political objectives. Evidence from Ukraine and the Middle East demonstrates that sustained logistics, rapid technological adaptation, and proxy networks are now more decisive than sheer military size. For policymakers, this implies a strategic shift away from seeking short, decisive victories toward preparing for prolonged, high-cost engagements, requiring a focus on sustainable supply chains and defining concrete, attainable political end-states.
Ukrainian ambassador Valerii Zaluzhnyi says future wars will require ‘technological alliances, not treaty articles’
English Summary
Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Ukraine’s Ambassador to the UK, argues that future warfare will be defined by autonomous robotic systems, necessitating international 'technological alliances' over traditional treaty frameworks. He emphasizes that no single nation can master all critical military technologies, requiring a collective approach to counter threats and ensure military effectiveness with fewer casualties. To secure victory, Zaluzhnyi advocates for sustained economic pressure to push Russia's economy to a breaking point, highlighting a strategic shift toward technology-sharing and economic attrition as primary tools of modern defense.
中文摘要
烏克蘭駐英大使瓦勒里·扎盧日內（Valerii Zaluzhnyi）指出，未來戰爭將由自主機器人系統主導，這使得國際「技術聯盟」的重要性超越了傳統的條約框架。他強調，單一國家無法獨立掌握所有關鍵軍事技術，因此需要集體協作以應對威脅，並在減少傷亡的同時確保作戰效能。為取得勝利，扎盧日內提倡透過持續的經濟壓力將俄羅斯經濟推向崩潰點，並強調戰略重點已轉向將技術共享與經濟耗損作為現代國防的核心工具。
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