The Western Pacific remains a highly active theater defined by sustained U.S.-led military exercises and escalating great power competition. Key evidence includes continuous joint operations, such as RIMPAC 2026 in Hawaii and the deployment of CSGs into the South China Sea, juxtaposed with increased naval activity from both China (PLAN task groups) and Russia near Japan's critical straits. These movements underscore a strategic push by non-allied powers to assert presence and challenge regional norms. Policy implications dictate that allied nations must maintain robust multilateral cooperation and interoperability to safeguard freedom of navigation and manage escalating tensions in the Indo-Pacific.
Trump Has Got Europe All Wrong
English Summary
The article argues that Donald Trump views the European Union not as a partner, but as a target for fragmentation. This hostile stance is evidenced by his escalating rhetoric, which has moved from simple disdain to outright hatred for the bloc. Furthermore, leaked drafts of the 2025 National Security Strategy reveal explicit objectives to 'pull' member states away from the EU, a policy mirrored by considering high tariffs on European exports. Policymakers must anticipate that US strategy will prioritize destabilization and division within the EU, rather than promoting unified transatlantic cooperation.
中文摘要
本文主張，唐納德·川普（Donald Trump）並未將歐盟視為合作夥伴，反而將其視為一個需要被瓦解的目標。這種敵意立場體現在他日益升級的言論中，其語氣已從單純的輕蔑轉變為對整個歐盟的公然憎恨。此外，洩露的《2025年國家安全戰略》草案揭示了明確的目標，即「拉離」成員國與歐盟的關係，此政策也體現在考慮對歐洲出口商品徵收高額關稅上。政策制定者必須預期，美國的戰略重點將是促成歐盟內部的去穩定化和分裂，而非促進統一的跨大西洋合作。
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