The article argues that the Federal Reserve's recent rate hike decision, while justifiable on inflation grounds, highlights a critical lack of an underlying, transparent policy framework. The core problem is that the Fed's decisions appear discretionary, leading to market uncertainty because the committee's judgment, rather than clear data, dictates policy shifts. The author proposes that the Fed adopt a formal monetary policy rule—an algebraic formula linking the target rate to indicators like inflation and unemployment—to replace subjective guidance. Implementing such a rule would provide market predictability, enhance transparency, and shield the Fed from political attacks by making deviations from the standard easily quantifiable.
The past, present, and future of the Public Service Loan Forgiveness program
English Summary
The Public Service Loan Forgiveness program, created in 2007 to encourage public service employment, remained largely ineffective for over a decade due to administrative dysfunction, but Biden-era reforms transformed it into a substantial benefit program that has forgiven nearly $91 billion to 1.2 million borrowers as of January 2026. However, PSLF's design creates unintended consequences: it disproportionately benefits higher-earning graduate borrowers like physicians rather than lower-income workers, and interactions with other policies (generous income-driven repayment plans and unlimited graduate borrowing) dramatically increased costs beyond initial estimates. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act will reduce program generosity through lower loan limits and repayment plan changes, while ongoing litigation-related administrative backlogs continue to burden borrowers and federal administration. The fundamental issue is that PSLF's interaction with the broader student loan ecosystem was not fully anticipated, creating problematic incentives around borrowing costs and raising questions about whether sector-based subsidies efficiently achieve public service employment goals.
中文摘要
公共服務貸款寬免計畫（PSLF）於2007年設立，旨在鼓勵公共服務就業，但由於行政部門運作不力，在十多年間基本無效。拜登政府的改革將其轉變為實質性福利計畫，截至2026年1月，已為120萬借款人寬免近910億美元。然而，PSLF的設計帶來了意想不到的後果：該計畫不成比例地惠及醫生等高收入研究生借款人，而非低收入勞工；與其他政策（慷慨的收入驅動型還款計畫和無限研究生借款）的相互作用大幅增加了超過初期估計的成本。《唯一偉大法案》將通過降低貸款額度上限和改變還款計畫結構來降低計畫慷慨程度，而與訴訟相關的持續行政積壓繼續給借款人和聯邦政府帶來負擔。根本問題在於PSLF與更廣泛的學生貸款生態系統的相互作用未被充分預見，造成了圍繞借貸成本的負面激勵機制，並引發了關於基於部門的補貼是否能有效實現公共服務就業目標的疑問。
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