The article argues that the Federal Reserve's recent rate hike decision, while justifiable on inflation grounds, highlights a critical lack of an underlying, transparent policy framework. The core problem is that the Fed's decisions appear discretionary, leading to market uncertainty because the committee's judgment, rather than clear data, dictates policy shifts. The author proposes that the Fed adopt a formal monetary policy rule—an algebraic formula linking the target rate to indicators like inflation and unemployment—to replace subjective guidance. Implementing such a rule would provide market predictability, enhance transparency, and shield the Fed from political attacks by making deviations from the standard easily quantifiable.
Haiti: Pathways to sustainable security in a fragmenting global order.
English Summary
Chatham House argues that Haiti is entering a decisive security and governance transition, and that restoring order now requires a credible, integrated strategy rather than another narrow short-term intervention. The event framing points to entrenched gang violence, political uncertainty around the Transitional Presidential Council’s post-7 February transition, and worsening economic distress as mutually reinforcing drivers of instability. Its reasoning emphasizes lessons from past multilateral missions and the need to align Haitian institutions, regional actors, and international partners around a practical roadmap that links security operations with economic recovery and job creation. Strategically, the implication is that external support should shift toward sustained, Haitian-led institution building with clearer coordination, accountability, and economic stabilization goals if durable security is to be achieved.
中文摘要
英國皇家國際事務研究所（Chatham House）指出，海地正進入安全與治理轉型的關鍵階段；當前要恢復秩序，需要的是具公信力且整合性的策略，而非再一次狹隘、短期的介入。該活動的框架認為，根深蒂固的幫派暴力、圍繞過渡總統委員會在2月7日之後政權過渡的不確定性，以及持續惡化的經濟困境，彼此強化並共同驅動不穩定。其論證重點在於汲取過去多邊任務的經驗教訓，並使海地國內機構、區域行為者與國際夥伴圍繞一套可行路線圖達成一致，將安全行動與經濟復甦及就業創造連結。從戰略層面看，若要實現可持續的安全，外部支持應轉向長期、由海地主導的制度建設，並設定更清晰的協調、問責與經濟穩定化目標。
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