The article argues that modern conflicts are increasingly defined by attrition, driven by three strategic gaps: the difference between nominal military power and usable capacity; the difficulty of achieving breakthroughs in a technologically advanced battlefield; and the detachment of military means from clear political objectives. Evidence from Ukraine and the Middle East demonstrates that sustained logistics, rapid technological adaptation, and proxy networks are now more decisive than sheer military size. For policymakers, this implies a strategic shift away from seeking short, decisive victories toward preparing for prolonged, high-cost engagements, requiring a focus on sustainable supply chains and defining concrete, attainable political end-states.
Ahmed al‑Sharaa, President of Syria, on Syria’s future
English Summary
President Ahmed al-Sharaa outlines Syria's post-Assad transition strategy, focusing on reconstruction and diplomatic re-engagement following the regime's fall in late 2024. His government seeks to reintegrate Syria into the international community after years of isolation while navigating ongoing regional volatility and the country's stance in Middle East conflicts. Al-Sharaa's vision encompasses political and economic reforms, building accountable state institutions, and establishing Syria as a stabilizing force in regional affairs. This represents a critical shift from Syria's pariah status, with significant implications for regional security dynamics and international relations normalization. Success hinges on balancing domestic governance reforms with strategic positioning within a volatile geopolitical environment.
中文摘要
敘利亞總統艾哈邁德·沙阿闡述敘利亞在阿薩德政權於2024年底倒台後的過渡戰略，重點聚焦於重建與外交重新接觸。其政府尋求在多年孤立後將敘利亞重新融入國際社會，同時應對地區持續動盪與該國在中東衝突中的立場。沙阿的願景包括進行政治與經濟改革、建立具問責制的國家機構，以及使敘利亞成為地區事務中的穩定力量。這代表敘利亞從被孤立地位的重大轉變，對地區安全動態與國際關係正常化具有重大影響。成功取決於在動盪的地緣政治環境中平衡國內治理改革與戰略定位。
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