The ongoing Ebola outbreak in the DRC serves as a critical warning that the global health security system is fundamentally unprepared for future biological threats. The difficulty in containing this outbreak is compounded by the rising risk of emerging pathogens and the growing potential for AI misuse in bioweapon development. Policy must therefore shift from reactive, crisis-driven funding to sustained, proactive investment in resilient public health infrastructure, particularly in conflict zones. Addressing this requires strengthening global surveillance, ensuring consistent international cooperation, and mitigating the intersection of conflict, climate change, and disease spread.
Avoiding a new nuclear arms race
English Summary
Despite rising global tensions and skepticism regarding formal arms control, the paper argues that avoiding a new nuclear arms race remains achievable. It analyzes the stability of four key nuclear relationships—including the US-Russia, US-China, and the N5 group—to assess the current risk landscape. The research provides concrete recommendations for states to manage these complex dynamics and prevent costly escalation. Ultimately, the findings emphasize that proactive diplomatic engagement is crucial to maintaining strategic stability, especially in the context of the NPT Review Conference.
中文摘要
儘管全球緊張局勢升溫，且對正式的軍備控制機制產生懷疑，本文仍論證避免新一輪核軍備競賽是可行的。研究分析了包括美俄、美中以及N5集團在內的四個關鍵核關係的穩定性，以評估當前的風險格局。本研究為各國提供了具體的建議，以管理這些複雜的動態，並預防成本高昂的升級。最終，研究結果強調，主動的外交參與對於維持戰略穩定至關重要，尤其是在《不擴散條約》審查會議的背景下。
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