ThinkTankWeekly

The flow of arms and money feeding the war in Sudan can be cut. What is missing is the will

Chatham House | 2026-05-24 | africa

Topics: China, Middle East, Trade

Visit original source

ThinkTankWeekly provides a curated entry and summary only. Full text and PDF remain on the publisher's website.

English Summary

The persistence of the war in Sudan is attributed not to internal conflict alone, but to external actors who are supplying arms, funding, and logistical support, creating a self-sustaining conflict economy. Key regional players, including the UAE, Egypt, and others, are implicated in supplying weapons and facilitating cross-border movements, while international diplomatic efforts have failed due to a lack of enforcement mechanisms. To achieve peace, the international community must undertake a coordinated 'deproxification' effort, forcefully cutting all external lifelines—including arms routes and gold shipments. The analysis concludes that the US must leverage its full diplomatic and economic power, such as sanctions, to pressure enablers and force an end to external patronage.

中文摘要

蘇丹戰爭的持續不僅歸因於內部衝突,更源於外部行為者提供武器、資金和後勤支持,從而形成了一個自我維持的衝突經濟體。包括阿聯酋、埃及等關鍵區域參與者,涉入武器供應和協助跨境流動;而國際外交努力因缺乏執行機制而功敗垂成。為實現和平,國際社會必須進行協調的「去外部化」(deproxification)努力,強力切斷所有外部生命線,包括武器走私路線和黃金運輸。分析結論指出,美國必須充分利用其外交和經濟實力,例如制裁措施,對這些促成者施壓,以終結外部的庇護支持。

Related Entries

  1. 1.
    2026-07-24 | china_indopacific | 2026-W30 | Topics: China, Indo-Pacific, Nuclear, Russia, United States

    The Western Pacific remains a highly active theater defined by sustained U.S.-led military exercises and escalating great power competition. Key evidence includes continuous joint operations, such as RIMPAC 2026 in Hawaii and the deployment of CSGs into the South China Sea, juxtaposed with increased naval activity from both China (PLAN task groups) and Russia near Japan's critical straits. These movements underscore a strategic push by non-allied powers to assert presence and challenge regional norms. Policy implications dictate that allied nations must maintain robust multilateral cooperation and interoperability to safeguard freedom of navigation and manage escalating tensions in the Indo-Pacific.

    Read at USNI

  2. 2.
    2026-07-24 | middle_east | 2026-W30 | Topics: AI, China, Europe, Middle East, NATO, Russia, Taiwan, Trade, United States

    The article argues that the post-Cold War era of U.S. unipolarity, established by the perceived invincibility demonstrated during the Gulf War, has ended. This decline is driven by globalization and technological diffusion, which have democratized advanced military capabilities, allowing regional actors to challenge major powers. Consequently, policymakers must prepare for a more volatile international order marked by frequent crises, heightened costs for securing global trade chokepoints, and reduced predictability from American power. The new rules dictate that great powers can no longer effortlessly impose their will through force.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  3. 3.
    2026-07-24 | economy | 2026-W30 | Topics: Middle East, Trade, United States

    The article argues that current market borrowing costs are rising independently of the Federal Reserve's policy stance, challenging the assumption that the Fed controls all rates. Evidence shows significant increases in key rates—such as 2-year Treasuries and mortgages—even while the effective federal funds rate remains steady. This divergence occurs because market rates reflect complex factors like inflation expectations, credit risk, and geopolitical volatility, which are outside the central bank's direct control. Policymakers should therefore recognize that sustainable rate moderation requires credible disinflation and disciplined government budgets, rather than relying solely on Fed intervention.

    Read at CATO

  4. 4.
    2026-07-24 | china_indopacific | 2026-W30 | Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, NATO, Taiwan, Trade, United States

    Despite recent trade setbacks, the U.S. retains fundamental structural economic leverage over China, particularly in high-tech sectors and intermediate goods. While Beijing can temporarily weaponize specific resources like rare earths, these chokepoints are vulnerable to diversification efforts by the West. The article argues that the most effective strategy is not unilateral action but coordinated multilateral pressure from U.S. allies across Asia and Europe. Washington must therefore coordinate its economic statecraft with partners to maximize damage to China’s export-dependent model.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  5. 5.
    2026-07-24 | economy | 2026-W30 | Topics: Trade, United States

    The article argues that bond market behavior is not driven by an 'addiction' to tariff revenue but rather by the government’s overall fiscal health, growth prospects, and debt servicing capacity. Key evidence shows that customs duties generate a fraction of total federal receipts compared to core tax streams, meaning tariffs are too small to fundamentally alter the nation's fiscal trajectory. Furthermore, market reactions were dictated by the aggregate economic damage caused by large tariffs (inflation/growth concerns), not merely the revenue generated. Policymakers should recognize that the real concern for bond investors remains persistent budget deficits and high interest costs, issues that require comprehensive structural reform rather than reliance on tariff income.

    Read at CATO