The article argues that modern conflicts are increasingly defined by attrition, driven by three strategic gaps: the difference between nominal military power and usable capacity; the difficulty of achieving breakthroughs in a technologically advanced battlefield; and the detachment of military means from clear political objectives. Evidence from Ukraine and the Middle East demonstrates that sustained logistics, rapid technological adaptation, and proxy networks are now more decisive than sheer military size. For policymakers, this implies a strategic shift away from seeking short, decisive victories toward preparing for prolonged, high-cost engagements, requiring a focus on sustainable supply chains and defining concrete, attainable political end-states.
Film screening: ‘Facing War’
English Summary
The film "Facing War" provides an exclusive, inside look at NATO's high-stakes diplomacy during a critical period, showcasing the alliance's internal decision-making spaces. It documents tense negotiations with world leaders such as US President Joe Biden, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, focusing on support for Ukraine. The documentary highlights the challenges of balancing aid to Ukraine with concerns about escalating the conflict, reflecting the fragile unity and geopolitical friction within the alliance.
中文摘要
電影《面對戰爭》（Facing War）獨家深入揭示了北約在關鍵時期的高風險外交，展示了該聯盟內部的決策空間。影片記錄了與美國總統喬·拜登、土耳其總統雷傑普·塔伊普·埃爾多安和匈牙利總理維克托·歐爾班等世界領導人就支持烏克蘭問題進行的緊張談判。這部紀錄片強調了在平衡對烏克蘭援助與對衝突升級的擔憂之間所面臨的挑戰，反映了聯盟內部脆弱的團結和地緣政治摩擦。
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