The article argues that the post-Cold War era of U.S. unipolarity, established by the perceived invincibility demonstrated during the Gulf War, has ended. This decline is driven by globalization and technological diffusion, which have democratized advanced military capabilities, allowing regional actors to challenge major powers. Consequently, policymakers must prepare for a more volatile international order marked by frequent crises, heightened costs for securing global trade chokepoints, and reduced predictability from American power. The new rules dictate that great powers can no longer effortlessly impose their will through force.
Film screening: ‘Facing War’
English Summary
The film "Facing War" provides an exclusive, inside look at NATO's high-stakes diplomacy during a critical period, showcasing the alliance's internal decision-making spaces. It documents tense negotiations with world leaders such as US President Joe Biden, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, focusing on support for Ukraine. The documentary highlights the challenges of balancing aid to Ukraine with concerns about escalating the conflict, reflecting the fragile unity and geopolitical friction within the alliance.
中文摘要
電影《面對戰爭》（Facing War）獨家深入揭示了北約在關鍵時期的高風險外交，展示了該聯盟內部的決策空間。影片記錄了與美國總統喬·拜登、土耳其總統雷傑普·塔伊普·埃爾多安和匈牙利總理維克托·歐爾班等世界領導人就支持烏克蘭問題進行的緊張談判。這部紀錄片強調了在平衡對烏克蘭援助與對衝突升級的擔憂之間所面臨的挑戰，反映了聯盟內部脆弱的團結和地緣政治摩擦。
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