The article argues that the post-Cold War era of U.S. unipolarity, established by the perceived invincibility demonstrated during the Gulf War, has ended. This decline is driven by globalization and technological diffusion, which have democratized advanced military capabilities, allowing regional actors to challenge major powers. Consequently, policymakers must prepare for a more volatile international order marked by frequent crises, heightened costs for securing global trade chokepoints, and reduced predictability from American power. The new rules dictate that great powers can no longer effortlessly impose their will through force.
From Apartheid to Democracy: A Blueprint for Peace in Israel-Palestine
English Summary
The article argues that the traditional two-state solution is an unworkable policy goal for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Instead, the authors propose that substantive negotiations must be preceded by addressing systemic violations of international law and discriminatory policies that create power disparities. This requires considerable international pressure, particularly on Israel, to force concessions and implement reforms, such as security sector changes. The core implication is that policymakers must shift their strategy from negotiating borders to enforcing international accountability to create a genuine foundation for peace.
中文摘要
本文主張，傳統的兩國方案對於以色列－巴勒斯坦衝突而言，已是一個不可行的政策目標。相反地，作者們提出，實質性的談判必須先處理系統性的國際法違規行為和造成權力不對等化的歧視性政策。這需要巨大的國際壓力，特別是針對以色列，以迫使其做出讓步並實施改革，例如安全部門的結構調整。核心的政策意涵是，政策制定者必須將其戰略重心從談判邊界轉移到執行國際問責機制，從而為和平建立真正的基礎。
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