ThinkTankWeekly

How AI Could Hollow Out the U.S. Military

Foreign Affairs | 2026-08-20 | defense

Topics: Cybersecurity, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, Nuclear, United States

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English Summary

The primary threat of AI to the U.S. military is not autonomous warfare, but the erosion of human cognitive capacity and independent judgment among personnel. Over-reliance on AI tools fosters 'automation bias,' causing soldiers and commanders to blindly defer to algorithmic suggestions, which impairs critical thinking even in experienced experts. To counter this risk, the Pentagon must overhaul training by shifting from static, schoolhouse models to continuous, field-based learning. Furthermore, embedding technical experts and data scientists is crucial to ensuring that human judgment remains central to military planning and decision-making processes.

中文摘要

人工智慧對美國軍方的主要威脅並非自主戰鬥系統,而是導致人員認知能力和獨立判斷力的逐漸侵蝕。過度依賴AI工具會助長「自動化偏差」(automation bias),使士兵和指揮官盲目接受演算法的建議,即使是經驗豐富的專家也會因此削弱批判性思維。為應對此風險,國防部必須改革訓練體系,從傳統的學堂式模式轉向持續性的、基於實戰場域的學習。此外,嵌入技術專家和資料科學家至關重要,以確保人類判斷力在軍事規劃和決策過程中仍處於核心地位。

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