ThinkTankWeekly

Russia’s Hybrid War Has Entered a Dangerous New Phase

Foreign Affairs | 2026-10-07 | defense

Topics: Cybersecurity, Europe, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, United States

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English Summary

Russia is escalating its hybrid warfare campaign—including missile incursions, drone placements, and critical infrastructure sabotage—to test NATO's Article 5 commitment and fracture alliance unity. The article argues that while these attacks are becoming increasingly brazen and undeniable, NATO's current response remains fragmented, relying on a reactive, incident-by-incident approach that fails to impose meaningful costs on Moscow. To prevent further escalation and catastrophic loss of life, the alliance must move beyond its defensive posture and adopt a forceful, collective strategy capable of deterring Russia's destabilizing tactics.

中文摘要

俄羅斯正在升級其混合戰行動——包括發射飛彈、部署無人機和破壞關鍵基礎設施——以測試北約的《第五條承諾》並破裂聯盟的團結。本文論述,儘管這些攻擊正變得越來越公然且不容否認,但北約目前的應對措施仍顯碎片化,過度依賴被動、事件單點的應對方式,無法對莫斯科施加實質的成本。為防止進一步升級和造成災難性的傷亡,聯盟必須超越其防禦姿態,採取一套強硬、集體化的戰略,以有效威懾俄羅斯的不穩定化戰術。

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