The article argues that the post-Cold War era of U.S. unipolarity, established by the perceived invincibility demonstrated during the Gulf War, has ended. This decline is driven by globalization and technological diffusion, which have democratized advanced military capabilities, allowing regional actors to challenge major powers. Consequently, policymakers must prepare for a more volatile international order marked by frequent crises, heightened costs for securing global trade chokepoints, and reduced predictability from American power. The new rules dictate that great powers can no longer effortlessly impose their will through force.
AI and economic mobility: Opportunities and challenges
English Summary
This Brookings report argues that AI's impact on economic mobility is complex, presenting both opportunities to boost productivity and potential risks of exacerbating existing inequalities. The analysis draws parallels with previous technological shifts, highlighting how automation and digitalization have historically created both wealth and displacement. The report emphasizes the need for proactive policies to ensure AI benefits are broadly distributed, particularly focusing on retraining programs and adapting social safety nets. Ultimately, the authors suggest a strategic approach is crucial to harness AI's potential while mitigating negative economic consequences.
中文摘要
本布基寧克報告論述指出，人工智能對經濟流動的影響具有複雜性，既存在提升生產力的機會，也存在加劇現有不平等風險的潛在威脅。分析將其與以往的科技變革進行比較，強調自動化和數位化在歷史上既創造了財富，也導致了失業。報告強調，為了確保人工智能的利益能夠廣泛傳播，特別是重點關注再培訓計劃和調整社會保障網絡的必要性。最終，作者建議採取戰略性的方法，以充分利用人工智能的潛力，同時減輕其可能產生的負面經濟後果。
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