The article argues that modern conflicts are increasingly defined by attrition, driven by three strategic gaps: the difference between nominal military power and usable capacity; the difficulty of achieving breakthroughs in a technologically advanced battlefield; and the detachment of military means from clear political objectives. Evidence from Ukraine and the Middle East demonstrates that sustained logistics, rapid technological adaptation, and proxy networks are now more decisive than sheer military size. For policymakers, this implies a strategic shift away from seeking short, decisive victories toward preparing for prolonged, high-cost engagements, requiring a focus on sustainable supply chains and defining concrete, attainable political end-states.
Europe Programme
English Summary
Chatham House’s Europe Programme argues that Europe needs practical, implementation-focused policy work to navigate a period of geopolitical and political disruption. Its reasoning is that combining EU, NATO, and country-level expertise can turn broad strategic goals into actionable recommendations, especially across its 2024–2027 priorities: the EU’s future, European security, and Europe’s global role. The programme also treats election outcomes and growing political fragmentation as cross-cutting forces that shape progress in all three areas. For policymakers, the implication is to pursue integrated strategies that link institutional reform, security planning, and external action while stress-testing decisions against domestic political volatility across Europe.
中文摘要
查塔姆研究所（Chatham House）歐洲計畫主張，歐洲在地緣政治與政治動盪加劇的時期，需要更務實、以執行為導向的政策工作。其論點在於，整合歐盟、北約與各國層級的專業能力，可將宏觀戰略目標轉化為可操作的政策建議，尤其是在其 2024–2027 年三項重點：歐盟的未來、歐洲安全，以及歐洲的全球角色。該計畫亦將選舉結果與日益嚴重的政治碎片化視為跨領域因素，認為其會共同塑造上述三大領域的進展。對決策者而言，意涵是應推動整合性策略，將制度改革、安全規劃與對外行動連結起來，並在全歐洲國內政治波動的情境下，持續對政策決策進行壓力測試。
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