Despite significant damage to its naval fleet, shipyards, and production facilities from recent strikes, Iran is expected to quickly reconstitute its military industrial base. This reconstitution relies heavily on importing dual-use components, such as machine tools, drone parts, and marine engines, through alternative routes like Pakistan or China. To counter this threat, the report advises that policymakers must extend sanctions mechanisms—particularly 'no reexport' clauses—and proactively engage third countries with direct access to Iran. Furthermore, monitoring allied firms dealing with key suppliers in China and Turkey is crucial to slowing down and raising the cost of necessary procurements.
Europe Programme
English Summary
Chatham House’s Europe Programme argues that Europe needs practical, implementation-focused policy work to navigate a period of geopolitical and political disruption. Its reasoning is that combining EU, NATO, and country-level expertise can turn broad strategic goals into actionable recommendations, especially across its 2024–2027 priorities: the EU’s future, European security, and Europe’s global role. The programme also treats election outcomes and growing political fragmentation as cross-cutting forces that shape progress in all three areas. For policymakers, the implication is to pursue integrated strategies that link institutional reform, security planning, and external action while stress-testing decisions against domestic political volatility across Europe.
中文摘要
查塔姆研究所（Chatham House）歐洲計畫主張，歐洲在地緣政治與政治動盪加劇的時期，需要更務實、以執行為導向的政策工作。其論點在於，整合歐盟、北約與各國層級的專業能力，可將宏觀戰略目標轉化為可操作的政策建議，尤其是在其 2024–2027 年三項重點：歐盟的未來、歐洲安全，以及歐洲的全球角色。該計畫亦將選舉結果與日益嚴重的政治碎片化視為跨領域因素，認為其會共同塑造上述三大領域的進展。對決策者而言，意涵是應推動整合性策略，將制度改革、安全規劃與對外行動連結起來，並在全歐洲國內政治波動的情境下，持續對政策決策進行壓力測試。
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