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The FCAS fighter jet looks like it’s dead. Could that be a good thing?

Chatham House | 2026-06-12 | defense

Topics: Europe, Indo-Pacific, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Trade, Ukraine

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English Summary

The FCAS fighter jet program is effectively collapsing as Germany seeks to withdraw, primarily due to France and Germany's incompatible requirements—France needs carrier and nuclear capabilities while Germany seeks a conventional fighter. This failure reflects broader European defense fragmentation, with four competing next-generation fighter programs underway, which threatens to splinter resources and leave Europe dangerously dependent on an unreliable US F-35 supply through the 2040s. However, this impasse could prove beneficial if it prompts European states to abandon the outdated procurement model driven by industrial prestige and export competition, instead consolidating resources into a single, unified fighter system focused on urgent strategic needs.

中文摘要

FCAS戰鬥機計畫正實質崩潰,主要原因是法國和德國之間需求的不相容——法國要求搭載航空母艦和核武能力,而德國則只尋求一款傳統戰鬥機。此失敗反映了歐洲更廣泛的防衛碎片化現象,目前有四個競爭的下一代戰鬥機計畫正在進行,這威脅到分散資源,並可能使歐洲在2040年代持續依賴不可靠的美國F-35供應。然而,這種僵局若能促使歐洲國家放棄受產業聲望和出口競爭驅動的過時採購模式,轉而將資源集中於一個單一、統一的戰鬥機系統,專注於迫切的戰略需求,則可能帶來益處。

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