ThinkTankWeekly

A Balanced Budget Amendment That Borrows from Switzerland’s Fiscal Playbook

CATO | 2026-03-19 | economy

Topics: United States

Visit original source

ThinkTankWeekly provides a curated entry and summary only. Full text and PDF remain on the publisher's website.

English Summary

The article analyzes H.J. Res. 139, a balanced budget amendment by Rep. Andy Biggs that caps federal spending at a three-year rolling average of revenues adjusted for population growth and inflation, targeting structural primary balance rather than rigid annual balance. This design draws on Switzerland's successful debt brake, which has helped reduce Swiss debt-to-GDP by allowing cyclical flexibility while enforcing medium-term discipline. However, the amendment contains two significant flaws: a wartime exception requiring only a simple majority that creates perverse incentives for declarations of war to bypass spending limits, and a two-thirds supermajority requirement for tax increases that undermines political neutrality and makes bipartisan ratification virtually impossible. The author recommends fixing both the emergency loophole and the tax-increase provision to produce a durable, credible fiscal rule.

中文摘要

本文分析眾議員乔安迪·比格斯提出的聯合決議案 H.J. Res. 139——一項平衡預算修正案,將聯邦支出上限設定為經人口成長與通膨調整後的三年滾動平均收入,旨在實現結構性基本收支平衡,而非僵化的年度平衡。此設計借鑑瑞士成功的「債務煞車」機制,該機制在維持景氣循環彈性的同時執行中期財政紀律,有效降低了瑞士的債務佔 GDP 比率。然而,該修正案存在兩項重大缺陷:其一,戰時例外條款僅需簡單多數即可通過,形成透過宣戰來規避支出上限的扭曲誘因;其二,加稅須經三分之二絕對多數同意的規定破壞了政治中立性,使跨黨派批准幾乎不可能實現。作者建議修正緊急狀態漏洞與加稅條款,以建立持久且具公信力的財政規則。

Related Entries

  1. 1.
    2026-07-24 | defense | 2026-W30 | Topics: Indo-Pacific, United States

    The White House (via OMB) strongly protests Congressional efforts within the FY 2027 NDAA to prohibit the purchase of warships from foreign shipyards. The Administration argues that these restrictions undermine national security by limiting flexibility and hindering its strategy of leveraging allied yards, such as in the 'Finland model,' to drive investment into U.S. shipbuilding capacity. This signals a significant policy shift toward integrating international partners into advanced naval construction, suggesting the Pentagon is prepared to bypass traditional domestic build requirements for future combat vessels.

    Read at USNI

  2. 2.
    2026-07-24 | china_indopacific | 2026-W30 | Topics: China, Indo-Pacific, Nuclear, Russia, United States

    The Western Pacific remains a highly active theater defined by sustained U.S.-led military exercises and escalating great power competition. Key evidence includes continuous joint operations, such as RIMPAC 2026 in Hawaii and the deployment of CSGs into the South China Sea, juxtaposed with increased naval activity from both China (PLAN task groups) and Russia near Japan's critical straits. These movements underscore a strategic push by non-allied powers to assert presence and challenge regional norms. Policy implications dictate that allied nations must maintain robust multilateral cooperation and interoperability to safeguard freedom of navigation and manage escalating tensions in the Indo-Pacific.

    Read at USNI

  3. 3.
    2026-07-24 | middle_east | 2026-W30 | Topics: AI, China, Europe, Middle East, NATO, Russia, Taiwan, Trade, United States

    The article argues that the post-Cold War era of U.S. unipolarity, established by the perceived invincibility demonstrated during the Gulf War, has ended. This decline is driven by globalization and technological diffusion, which have democratized advanced military capabilities, allowing regional actors to challenge major powers. Consequently, policymakers must prepare for a more volatile international order marked by frequent crises, heightened costs for securing global trade chokepoints, and reduced predictability from American power. The new rules dictate that great powers can no longer effortlessly impose their will through force.

    Read at Foreign Affairs

  4. 4.
    2026-07-24 | economy | 2026-W30 | Topics: Middle East, Trade, United States

    The article argues that current market borrowing costs are rising independently of the Federal Reserve's policy stance, challenging the assumption that the Fed controls all rates. Evidence shows significant increases in key rates—such as 2-year Treasuries and mortgages—even while the effective federal funds rate remains steady. This divergence occurs because market rates reflect complex factors like inflation expectations, credit risk, and geopolitical volatility, which are outside the central bank's direct control. Policymakers should therefore recognize that sustainable rate moderation requires credible disinflation and disciplined government budgets, rather than relying solely on Fed intervention.

    Read at CATO

  5. 5.
    2026-07-24 | society | 2026-W30

    Mini cities are temporary, child-run educational models—originating in Germany and Austria—that simulate real civic life by having children manage businesses, elect officials, pay taxes, and handle legal disputes. The core argument is that these hands-on experiences provide a superior learning environment compared to conventional schooling because children learn through the natural consequences of their actions rather than abstract grades. Policy implications suggest expanding this model from temporary summer programs into permanent, year-round structures that blur the line between play and real economic activity, potentially serving as a comprehensive 'launching pad' for future adult careers.

    Read at CATO