The article argues that the post-Cold War era of U.S. unipolarity, established by the perceived invincibility demonstrated during the Gulf War, has ended. This decline is driven by globalization and technological diffusion, which have democratized advanced military capabilities, allowing regional actors to challenge major powers. Consequently, policymakers must prepare for a more volatile international order marked by frequent crises, heightened costs for securing global trade chokepoints, and reduced predictability from American power. The new rules dictate that great powers can no longer effortlessly impose their will through force.
The Means of Prediction: How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)
English Summary
The analysis argues that because AI models are controlled by private developers who manage the four critical inputs—data, technical expertise, hardware, and energy—their objectives are often misaligned with public welfare. These corporate goals, which range from maximizing clicks to promoting specific political views, cannot be corrected by market forces or public pressure alone. Therefore, the report concludes that political intervention rooted in democratic decision-making is the only viable path to ensuring that AI development serves socially desirable and equitable outcomes.
中文摘要
該分析指出，由於人工智慧模型由私人開發商控制，而這些開發商掌握著數據、技術專業知識、硬體和能源這四大關鍵輸入，因此其目標往往與公共福祉產生偏差。這些企業目標的範圍涵蓋從最大化點擊率到推廣特定政治觀點，單靠市場力量或公眾壓力無法糾正。因此，報告結論認為，唯有植根於民主決策的政治介入，才是確保人工智慧發展能夠服務於社會期望和公平成果的唯一可行途徑。
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