The Brookings report argues that closing long-term fiscal deficits cannot be achieved solely by taxing high earners or corporations. Analysis shows that the required savings necessitate broad-based tax increases that would significantly impact middle and lower-income families, as targeted taxes on the wealthy are insufficient. The report notes that high-tax OECD nations achieve high revenues through broad consumption taxes (like VAT) rather than exclusively through highly progressive taxes on the rich. Consequently, any major tax-funded deficit solution would impose a substantial burden on the working class, potentially without the comprehensive social benefits enjoyed by European counterparts.
A new direction for students in an AI world: Prosper, prepare, protect
English Summary
A yearlong global study by the Brookings Institution finds that the current risks of generative AI in children's education, such as undermining foundational learning and social-emotional well-being, outweigh its potential benefits. Based on consultations with over 500 stakeholders and a review of 400 studies, the report warns that overreliance on AI tools can diminish students' fundamental learning capacity and trusting relationships. To address these challenges, the authors propose a 'Prosper, Prepare, and Protect' framework that advocates for pedagogically sound AI deployment, enhanced AI literacy, and robust regulatory frameworks. Policy recommendations emphasize the need for human-centered design, educator involvement in tool creation, and strict privacy protections to ensure AI enriches rather than hinders development.
中文摘要
布魯金斯學會（Brookings Institution）一項為期一年的全球研究發現，生成式人工智慧（AI）在兒童教育中的目前風險（如損害基礎學習和社交情緒發展）已超過其潛在收益。該報告基於對 500 多位利益相關者的諮詢以及對 400 項研究的審查，警告稱過度依賴 AI 工具可能會削弱學生的基本學習能力和信任關係。為了應對這些挑戰，作者提出了一個「繁榮、準備與保護」（Prosper, Prepare, and Protect）框架，主張採用符合教學原則的 AI 部署、增強 AI 素養以及建立穩健的監管框架。政策建議強調以人為本的設計、教育工作者參與工具開發以及嚴格的隱私保護，以確保 AI 促進而非阻礙發展。
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The analysis concludes that China will hold the upper hand at the upcoming Trump-Xi summit, leveraging its dominance over critical minerals, rare earths, and magnet supply chains. This geopolitical leverage, combined with global instability (such as the Iran conflict), allows Beijing to dictate terms and buy time to consolidate its technological and industrial self-sufficiency. Strategically, the U.S. must avoid granting China a managed equilibrium by maintaining 'maximum pressure' on key sectors like AI and tech, rather than seeking broad agreements that could undermine American leadership.
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The U.S.-China trade relationship remains defined by intense competition, characterized by persistent tariffs and tech export controls, despite temporary truces. While the conflict is driven by concerns over trade imbalances and China's adherence to global rules, the two economies remain deeply interdependent, making complete decoupling highly unlikely. Policy efforts are shifting away from achieving a definitive 'win' and toward managing this complex interdependence. Strategically, the U.S. must navigate the tension between protecting critical domestic industries and maintaining necessary global supply chains, suggesting a need for formalized mechanisms to manage future trade agreements.
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The US faces an inherent policy tension regarding Chinese clean energy investment: balancing the necessity of Chinese technology to accelerate domestic energy deployment against critical national security risks, such as supply chain over-dependence and data vulnerability. While China provides essential low-cost inputs for reindustrialization, current policies are often a chaotic patchwork of tariffs and screening rules that lack technological specificity. Policymakers must clarify their long-term national objectives—whether pursuing full domestic self-sufficiency or managed partnership—and adopt nuanced, technology-specific strategies rather than a one-size-fits-all approach to mitigate risks effectively.
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The Trump-Xi summit achieved a delicate détente, establishing a baseline of 'decent peace' that prioritizes stability and commercial cooperation over major geopolitical breakthroughs. Key evidence includes agreements on energy, trade (e.g., Boeing aircraft, Nvidia chips), and regional issues like the Strait of Hormuz, while China repeatedly emphasized Taiwan as the most critical issue for future stability. Strategically, the relationship is now defined by managed competition, with the pending $14 billion arms package to Taiwan serving as the most consequential test of this new, fragile truce. The outcome of this arms deal, and whether it is used as a bargaining chip, will determine the limits of the current détente.